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Secondary 1 · Mathematics
Chance and probability · Probability

Random Experiments and Sample Space

Will Licey win the next game? Will a coin land on heads? There are situations in which, no matter how much you know, you can't guess the outcome before it happens. In math, this is called chance, and we are going to learn to describe it in an organized way.

Random and Deterministic Experiments

Comparison between a random experiment (rolling a die, unpredictable outcome) and a deterministic one (dropping a stone, which always falls). Random rolling a die you don't know what will come up Deterministic dropping a stone always falls
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Which of these experiments are random? Why? a) Drawing a card from a well-shuffled pack and recording its suit. b) Measuring the length of your notebook with a ruler. c)…

Which of these experiments are random? Why?

  1. a) Drawing a card from a well-shuffled pack and recording its suit.
  2. b) Measuring the length of your notebook with a ruler.
  3. c) Recording the number of goals in your team's next match.
  4. d) Calculating the perimeter of a table given its dimensions.
Solve
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State whether each of the following experiments is random or deterministic, justifying your answer: a) Calculating the cost of $3$ kg of oranges at $\text{RD\$}\ 126…

State whether each of the following experiments is random or deterministic, justifying your answer:

  1. a) Calculating the cost of $3$ kg of oranges at $\text{RD\$}\ 126$ per kilo.
  2. b) Recording the outcome of dropping a thumbtack and seeing if it lands point up or on its side.
  3. c) Measuring the time it takes for a liter of water to boil on the stove.
  4. d) Recording who wins Saturday's basketball game.
  5. e) Calculating the area of a square with a side length of $5$ cm.
Solve

Sample Space

Representation of the sample space when rolling a six-sided die, with the possible outcomes 1 through 5 drawn and the 6 left to complete. E (sample space of the die) 6

Click "Roll" many times and check that the die always lands on one of those 6 outcomes, never on any other:

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Write down the sample space (all possible outcomes) for these experiments: a) Rolling a die and recording the score. b) Flipping a coin and recording the outcome. c)…

Write down the sample space (all possible outcomes) for these experiments:

  1. a) Rolling a die and recording the score.
  2. b) Flipping a coin and recording the outcome.
  3. c) Drawing a ball at random from a tombola drum with numbers from $1$ to $5$.
Solve
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Write down the sample space for each of these random experiments: a) Flipping a coin and recording the outcome. b) Drawing a ball from an urn containing one red, one…

Write down the sample space for each of these random experiments:

  1. a) Flipping a coin and recording the outcome.
  2. b) Drawing a ball from an urn containing one red, one green, one blue and one yellow ball, and recording its color.
  3. c) Spinning a spinner with numbers from $1$ to $6$ and recording the number.
  4. d) Choosing a day of the week at random and recording whether it is a "weekday" or "weekend".
Solve

Equally Likely Outcomes and Two Dice

Two outcomes are equally likely when they have the same chance of occurring. With a fair coin, heads and tails are equally likely. But this isn't always the case: in a bag with $9$ red balls and $1$ blue one, "red" and "blue" are not equally likely.

To see all the outcomes of an experiment with two steps (two coins, two dice), it helps to make a two-way table. With two coins:

1st \ 2nd C +
C CC C+
+ +C ++

There are $4$ outcomes: $E = \{CC, C+, +C, ++\}$, and all four are equally likely. Notice that "one head and one tail" can happen in 2 ways (C+ and +C), which is why it is more probable than "two heads," which happens in only 1 way.

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We toss two coins into the air and record whether heads (H) or tails (T) comes up on each one. The figure shows the sample space of the experiment. a) How many possible…

We toss two coins into the air and record whether heads (H) or tails (T) comes up on each one. The figure shows the sample space of the experiment.

H Coin 1 T Coin 2 Two RD$60 coins Possible outcomes HH Heads · Heads HT Heads · Tails TH Tails · Heads TT Tails · Tails Sample space: n = 4
  1. a) How many possible outcomes does the experiment have? Write them down.
  2. b) Are they equally likely? Explain your answer.
  3. c) In how many ways can the event "getting at least one head" occur?
  4. d) What about the event "getting two of the same"?
Solve
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We roll two dice of different colors (one blue and one green) and record the sum of the scores obtained. a) How many different outcomes can the sum take? Write them all…

We roll two dice of different colors (one blue and one green) and record the sum of the scores obtained.

  1. a) How many different outcomes can the sum take? Write them all down.
  2. b) Are these outcomes equally likely? Check this by completing a two-way table in your notebook showing the $36$ possible pairs (blue die, green die) and counting in how many ways each sum can be obtained.
  3. c) Which sum is the most likely? How many ways are there to obtain it?
  4. d) And which is the least likely?
Solve

Events: Certain, Possible, and Impossible

An event is any outcome or set of outcomes of the experiment ("getting an even number").

Event What it means Example with a die
Certain Always occurs "getting a number less than 7"
Possible May occur, but is not certain "getting a 4"
Impossible Can never occur "getting an 8"
Classification of events: certain with probability 1, possible with probability between 0 and 1, and impossible with probability 0. Certain always occurs P = 1 Possible can happen between 0 and 1 Impossible never occurs P = 0

The closer the probability is to $1$, the more likely the event; the closer to $0$, the more unlikely.

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When rolling a $6$-sided die, classify these events as certain, possible or impossible: a) Rolling a $5$. b) Rolling a $7$. c) Rolling a number less than $7$. d) Rolling…

When rolling a $6$-sided die, classify these events as certain, possible or impossible:

  1. a) Rolling a $5$.
  2. b) Rolling a $7$.
  3. c) Rolling a number less than $7$.
  4. d) Rolling a number greater than $2$.
Solve
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In a box there are $6$ trading cards: $4$ of players and $2$ of team crests. If we pick a card at random, classify these events as certain, possible or impossible: a)…

In a box there are $6$ trading cards: $4$ of players and $2$ of team crests. If we pick a card at random, classify these events as certain, possible or impossible:

  1. a) Picking a player card.
  2. b) Picking a manager card.
  3. c) Picking a player or team crest card.
  4. d) Picking a team crest card.
Solve
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A bag contains $9$ red balls and $1$ blue ball. Order the following events for the experiment "picking a ball at random" from most likely to least likely, explaining…

A bag contains $9$ red balls and $1$ blue ball. Order the following events for the experiment "picking a ball at random" from most likely to least likely, explaining your criteria:

  • Event A: "picking a red ball".

  • Event B: "picking a blue ball".

  • Event C: "picking a ball that is not green".

  • Event D: "picking a green ball".

Solve
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State whether the following statements about chance are true or false, giving reasons for your answer: a) Getting a $7$ when rolling a die is an impossible event. b) If…

State whether the following statements about chance are true or false, giving reasons for your answer:

  1. a) Getting a $7$ when rolling a die is an impossible event.
  2. b) If an event is very unlikely, then it is impossible.
  3. c) If I flip a coin $10$ times, it is certain that heads will come up exactly $5$ times.
  4. d) If heads has come up $4$ times in a row, on the next flip tails is more likely "to balance things out".
Solve
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a) Make up a random experiment whose sample space has exactly $6$ equally likely outcomes. Write down its sample space. b) Now make up a random experiment that also has…
  1. a) Make up a random experiment whose sample space has exactly $6$ equally likely outcomes. Write down its sample space.
  2. b) Now make up a random experiment that also has $6$ possible outcomes that are not equally likely, and explain why they are not.
  3. c) For your experiment in part b), describe a certain event, an impossible event and an unlikely event.
Solve
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An opaque bag contains only red and blue balls, $10$ balls in total, but we do not know how many there are of each color. a) Describe a certain event for this experiment…

An opaque bag contains only red and blue balls, $10$ balls in total, but we do not know how many there are of each color.

  1. a) Describe a certain event for this experiment (picking a ball at random).
  2. b) Describe an impossible event.
  3. c) If you are told that the event "picking a red ball" is very unlikely, what can you deduce about the contents of the bag? Give two possible combinations consistent with this information.
  4. d) What if "picking a red ball" were as likely as "picking a blue ball"?
Solve

Back to the beginning: you can't know in advance whether a coin will land on heads or who will win the game because they are random experiments: we know their sample space (all the possible outcomes), but the specific result of each attempt depends on chance.

Summary

See all the exercises in this section