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Prep 2 SS · Mathematics
Numbers · Financial mathematics

Index Numbers, the INPC, and Rates

Before you start, make sure you know: Percents (Secondary Year 1)
Before you start, make sure you know: Compound interest and percent change (Secondary Year 3)

Every two weeks INEGI publishes the INPC, and the news says "inflation was this much." The same thing happens with the unemployment rate or the housing price index. They are all the same idea: turning a quantity into a number relative to a reference, so you can compare even when the magnitudes are very different. At the end we will ask you whether going up 5% and then down 5% leaves prices where they started.

Index Numbers

Evolution of an index number from 2022 to 2024 with base year 2022. index 100 2022 1102023 1152024
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The price of a bus ticket was $\$50$ in 2023 and $\$53$ in 2024. a) Calculate the price index number in 2024 with base year 2023. b) What was the percentage change in…

The price of a bus ticket was $\$50$ in 2023 and $\$53$ in 2024.

  1. a) Calculate the price index number in 2024 with base year 2023.
  1. b) What was the percentage change in price?
Solve
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The index number for the set lunch menu price in a city, with base year 2021, is $108.5$ in 2024. a) Explain in your own words what this value means. b) If a set menu…

The index number for the set lunch menu price in a city, with base year 2021, is $108.5$ in 2024.

  1. a) Explain in your own words what this value means.
  1. b) If a set menu cost $\$220$ in 2021, how much does it cost in 2024 if its price has followed this index? Round to the nearest cent.
Solve
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The table shows the price of a video game across three years: 2022: $\$60$; 2023: $\$66$; 2024: $\$69…

The table shows the price of a video game across three years: 2022: $\$60$; 2023: $\$66$; 2024: $\$69$.

  1. a) Construct the series of index numbers with base year 2022.
  1. b) In which year did the price increase the most, as a percentage, compared with the previous year?
Solve

Chained Changes and Purchasing Power

Prices change year after year, and those changes multiply; they don't add.

Purchasing power. If your salary rises $s\,\%$ and prices rise $p\,\%$, the real change index is $\dfrac{1+s/100}{1+p/100}\times 100$. If it is less than 100, you lost purchasing power.

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In 2022, the rent for an apartment was $\$17\,000$ per month. The contract is reviewed every year with the CPI: in 2023 the CPI was $3.1 \%$ and in 2024, $2.6 \%…

In 2022, the rent for an apartment was $\$17\,000$ per month. The contract is reviewed every year with the CPI: in 2023 the CPI was $3.1 \%$ and in 2024, $2.6 \%$.

  1. a) Calculate the monthly rent in 2024 after both adjustments, rounded to the nearest cent.
  1. b) The tenant wants to compare the 2024 rent "in 2022 pesos". Since prices have increased at the same rate as their rent, explain which index they would use and what conclusion they reach.
  1. c) If in 2025 the CPI is $5 \%$ and the landlord decides not to increase the rent, by what percentage has the rent fallen in real terms? Round to two decimal places.
Solve
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The figure compares the evolution of the CPI and the wage index of a country (both with base $100$ three years prior). a) What was the total percentage rise in prices…

The figure compares the evolution of the CPI and the wage index of a country (both with base $100$ three years prior).

base 100 115 110 105 100 95 104.2 101.5 2022 109.5 104.1 2023 112.8 108.9 2024 CPI Wage index
  1. a) What was the total percentage rise in prices and in wages over the period?
  1. b) Have wages gained or lost purchasing power? Calculate the real index of variation (wage index divided by the CPI, multiplied by $100$) for the last year and interpret it.
  1. c) If in the last year a worker earned $\$1,650$ per month, what salary would they need to regain the purchasing power from three years prior?
Solve
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In a televised debate, a pundit states: «the CPI rose by $5 \%$ in 2023 and fell by $5 \%$ in 2024, so prices have returned exactly to where they were in 2022». a) Show…

In a televised debate, a pundit states: «the CPI rose by $5 \%$ in 2023 and fell by $5 \%$ in 2024, so prices have returned exactly to where they were in 2022».

  1. a) Show using a specific price (for example, $\$2\,000$) that the statement is false, and calculate the overall index of variation for the two-year period.
  1. b) By what percentage should prices have fallen in 2024 to return exactly to the 2022 level? Round to two decimal places.
  1. c) Explain, in a sentence that any citizen would understand, why a rise of $5 \%$ and a fall of $5 \%$ do not cancel each other out.
Solve

The INPC and the Average Annual Change

The INPC (Índice Nacional de Precios al Consumidor, the National Consumer Price Index) is calculated and published by INEGI. It tracks the prices of a basket of goods and services that families consume, and its percent change is inflation. It does not track a single product: it combines spending groups (food, housing, transportation…) and each group counts more or less depending on how much families spend on it.

When you know the inflation for several years, they are chained as you saw: by multiplying the factors $1 + \text{rate}$ (that is, $\text{INPC}/100$).

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The annual CPI for three consecutive years was $3.5 \%$, $2.8 \%$ and $4.1 \%$. a) Calculate the chained index of variation for the entire three-year period and the…

The annual CPI for three consecutive years was $3.5 \%$, $2.8 \%$ and $4.1 \%$.

  1. a) Calculate the chained index of variation for the entire three-year period and the total cumulative rise, rounded to two decimal places.
  1. b) If a liter of milk cost $\$19$ at the start of the first year and its price has increased by exactly the CPI, how much does it cost at the end of the third year? Round to the nearest cent.
Solve
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The figure shows the evolution of a price index with base $100$ in 2021. a) What was the total percentage change in prices between 2021 and 2025? b) In which year did…

The figure shows the evolution of a price index with base $100$ in 2021.

base = 100 Index 120 115 110 105 100 95 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100 104.2 109.5 112.8 115.3
  1. a) What was the total percentage change in prices between 2021 and 2025?
  1. b) In which year did the largest annual rise occur? Calculate it from the indices; do not estimate it by sight.
  1. c) Calculate the average annual rate of change for the period (the rate which, if repeated over the four years, would give the same final index). Round to two decimal places.
Solve

Other Rates: Birth, Death, and Unemployment

Many social quantities are expressed as rates per thousand or per hundred inhabitants, so that populations of different sizes can be compared.

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In a country of $2.1$ million inhabitants, the birth rate is $7.1$ births per $1,000$ inhabitants. a) Approximately how many births were recorded that year? b) If the…

In a country of $2.1$ million inhabitants, the birth rate is $7.1$ births per $1,000$ inhabitants.

  1. a) Approximately how many births were recorded that year?
  1. b) If the death rate was $9.3$ per $1,000$ inhabitants, is the population growing or shrinking due to natural causes? Quantify it.
Solve
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In a municipality of $48,300$ inhabitants, $415$ births and $502$ deaths were recorded in a year. a) Calculate the birth rate and the death rate (per $1,000$…

In a municipality of $48,300$ inhabitants, $415$ births and $502$ deaths were recorded in a year.

  1. a) Calculate the birth rate and the death rate (per $1,000$ inhabitants), rounded to two decimal places.
  1. b) Calculate the natural increase (births minus deaths) and express it also as a rate per $1,000$ inhabitants. Is the population growing or shrinking due to natural causes?
  1. c) If the total population, however, increased by $600$ people that year, what other demographic component explains the difference? Quantify it.
Solve
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The table shows approximate data from the Labor Force Survey for two regions in a quarter: Region A: active population $2,400,000$ people, unemployed $312,000$, employed…

The table shows approximate data from the Labor Force Survey for two regions in a quarter:

  • Region A: active population $2,400,000$ people, unemployed $312,000$, employed $2,088,000$.

  • Region B: active population $950,000$ people, unemployed $123,500$, employed $826,500$.

  1. a) Calculate the unemployment rate for each region, rounded to two decimal places.
  1. b) In region A, the population aged $16$ or over is $4,300,000$ people. Calculate its participation rate, rounded to two decimal places.
  1. c) A headline reads: «Region B has less unemployment because it has fewer unemployed people». Critique the headline using the calculated rates and explain why rates allow us to compare populations of different sizes.
Solve

Extension: Changing the Base and Linking Series

Sometimes it is convenient for a different year to be the one that equals 100, or two index series with different bases have to be joined because the first one stopped being published.

Linking two series. If one series ends in a year and another series with a different base starts in that same year (the linking year), the index of the linking year in the old series gives the factor for converting the new one.

Changing the base: each index is divided by the index of the new base year and multiplied by 100. base 2019100 · 104 · 111 · 120 ÷ 111 × 100 base 202190.1 · 93.7 · 100 · 108.1
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The series of index numbers for the price of urban transport, with base year 2018, is: 2018: $100$; 2019: $103.2$; 2020: $107.5$; 2021: $112.1$. a) Construct the same…

The series of index numbers for the price of urban transport, with base year 2018, is: 2018: $100$; 2019: $103.2$; 2020: $107.5$; 2021: $112.1$.

  1. a) Construct the same series using 2021 as the base year (index $100$ in 2021), rounding to one decimal place.
  1. b) What information is preserved and what changes when changing the base year?
Solve
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A supermarket chain has a series of index numbers for its sales with base year 2020 and another with base year 2023, but is missing the link between them. The known data…

A supermarket chain has a series of index numbers for its sales with base year 2020 and another with base year 2023, but is missing the link between them. The known data are:

  • Base 2020: 2021 index $= 104$, 2022 index $= 109$, 2023 index $= 115$.

  • Base 2023: 2024 index $= 106$, 2025 index $= 110$.

  1. a) Calculate the 2024 and 2025 indices with base 2020 (that is, link the two series).
  1. b) What was the total percentage change in sales between 2020 and 2025?
  1. c) And what was the average annual change in that period? Express it as a percentage rounded to one decimal place (use the root of the overall index).
Solve

Extension: How Each Spending Group Weighs in the INPC

In the INPC, not all groups weigh the same: a $10\,\%$ rise in food is felt more in your wallet than the same rise in something you barely buy. That is why each group has a weight (the fraction of household spending it represents, summing to $1$), and the overall increase is the sum of each increase multiplied by its weight: $r = \sum p_i\, r_i$.

Practice★★★Not started
The CPI of a country is calculated as a weighted average of the indices of several expenditure groups. In a given year, the data are: Food and drink: weighting $25 \%$,…

The CPI of a country is calculated as a weighted average of the indices of several expenditure groups. In a given year, the data are:

  • Food and drink: weighting $25 \%$, rise of $9 \%$.

  • Housing and utilities: weighting $30 \%$, rise of $4 \%$.

  • Transport: weighting $15 \%$, rise of $6 \%$.

  • Other groups: weighting $30 \%$, rise of $2 \%$.

  1. a) Calculate the overall CPI for the year, rounded to two decimal places.
  1. b) A worker whose salary rose by $3.5 \%$ that year claims that they have «lost purchasing power». Are they right? Justify your answer by calculating the real index of variation of their salary.
  1. c) Another worker spends half of their salary on housing and the other half equally among the remaining items. Explain why their «personal inflation» may be different from the official CPI.
Solve

Back to the beginning: going up $5\,\%$ and down $5\,\%$ gives an index of $0.9975$, so prices don't return to their starting point.

Summary

See all the exercises in this section