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ESO Y4A · Mathematics
statistics · Statistics

Population and sample

A television channel asks its viewers to call in and say who is going to win a referendum, receives $100\,000$ calls, and gets it spectacularly wrong. How can it be so far off with such an enormous sample? Because size is not everything: how you choose who to ask matters more than how many you ask.

Before you start, make sure you know: Statistical variable (3rd ESO)
Before you start, make sure you know: Proportional sharing (3rd ESO)

Population, sample and individual

Representation of a population of $N$ individuals as dots on a grid and a selected sample of size $n = 4$. Population: N individuals sample size n = 4
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An electronic components factory produces a batch of $5000$ resistors. To check their quality, the quality control department selects and analyses $150$ resistors.…

An electronic components factory produces a batch of $5000$ resistors. To check their quality, the quality control department selects and analyses $150$ resistors. Identify the population, the sample, the individual and the sample size in this statistical study.

Solve
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A study on reading habits is to be carried out in a municipality with $24000$ inhabitants. To do this, $800$ citizens are interviewed. Determine the study population,…

A study on reading habits is to be carried out in a municipality with $24000$ inhabitants. To do this, $800$ citizens are interviewed. Determine the study population, the sample and the sample size.

Solve

Types of variable

Classification diagram of the types of statistical variable: qualitative (nominal and ordinal) and quantitative (discrete and continuous). Variable Qualitative Quantitative nominal ordinal discrete continuous
Type Values Examples
Nominal qualitative Categories with no order Phone brand, hair colour
Ordinal qualitative Categories with an order Risk level (low/medium/high), size (S/M/L)
Discrete quantitative Numbers that are counted Number of siblings, number of moons of a planet
Continuous quantitative Numbers that are measured Mass, length, time
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Classify the following statistical variables as qualitative, discrete quantitative or continuous quantitative: The coat colour of a species of fox. The number of natural…

Classify the following statistical variables as qualitative, discrete quantitative or continuous quantitative:

  • The coat colour of a species of fox.

  • The number of natural satellites of the planets in the Solar System.

  • The mass in kilograms of postal parcels from a courier company.

  • The brand of computers in an IT room.

Solve
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In a marine ecology study, the following characteristics of a dolphin population are recorded: a) Species to which it belongs. b) Body length in metres. c) Number of…

In a marine ecology study, the following characteristics of a dolphin population are recorded:

  1. a) Species to which it belongs.
  2. b) Body length in metres.
  3. c) Number of calves it has had in its lifetime.
  4. d) Extinction risk level (Low, Vulnerable, Endangered).

Classify each statistical variable in detail. For qualitative variables, state explicitly whether they are ordinal or nominal.

Solve

Random and stratified sampling

If the population divides naturally into groups (strata) that may behave differently —year groups in a school, departments in a company— the sample should respect those proportions: this is proportional stratified sampling.

Stratified sampling diagram that proportionally shares a sample of 62 students among three school years. Population 1st ESO: 120 2nd ESO: 100 3rd ESO: 90 Sample (n = 62) n₁ ≈ 24 n₂ ≈ 20 n₃ ≈ 18
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In a secondary school there are $120$ students in 1st ESO, $100$ in 2nd ESO, $90$ in 3rd ESO and $50$ in 4th ESO. A sample of $72$ students is to be selected using…

In a secondary school there are $120$ students in 1st ESO, $100$ in 2nd ESO, $90$ in 3rd ESO and $50$ in 4th ESO. A sample of $72$ students is to be selected using stratified random sampling with proportional allocation. Calculate how many 3rd ESO students should be part of the sample.

Solve
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A poultry farm has three sheds with laying hens: shed A has $4500$ hens, shed B has $3000$ and shed C has $2500$. A sample of $200$ hens is to be selected using…

A poultry farm has three sheds with laying hens: shed A has $4500$ hens, shed B has $3000$ and shed C has $2500$. A sample of $200$ hens is to be selected using stratified sampling with proportional allocation. Determine the sample size for each of the three sheds.

Solve

Systematic sampling

Another way to choose without bias: you put the population in order (for example, numbering it from $1$ to $N$) and select one in every $k$ individuals, starting from a randomly chosen position.

Representation of systematic sampling on a list of individuals with an initial starting point and regular jumps of constant length k. blocks of k = 5 individuals a a + k a + 2k a + 3k constant interval k
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On an assembly line, $1200$ mobile phones are manufactured in one day. A quality control check is to be carried out by selecting a sample of $40$ phones using systematic…

On an assembly line, $1200$ mobile phones are manufactured in one day. A quality control check is to be carried out by selecting a sample of $40$ phones using systematic sampling. If the first phone selected at random is the one in position $14$, determine the sampling interval, and the positions of the first three phones and the last phone selected in the sample.

Solve
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A database contains the records of $N = 2520$ customers. A sample of size $n = 45$ is to be drawn using systematic sampling. The random start determines that the first…

A database contains the records of $N = 2520$ customers. A sample of size $n = 45$ is to be drawn using systematic sampling. The random start determines that the first customer selected is the one in position $a = 23$.

Find a general algebraic expression for the position of the $i$th individual in the sample (for $1 \le i \le 45$) and determine the position in the database of the customer who was selected $32$th in the sample.

Solve

Biased samples

Sample size is not enough: if the selection method favours one group, the result is biased, however large $n$ is.

Conceptual diagram showing how a massive sample of 100 000 voluntary responses is still biased because of its selection method. biased sample 100 000 responsesself-selected size does not fix the bias of the method
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A city council wants to know the opinion of citizens regarding the construction of a new cycle lane in the city centre. To do this, a surveyor stands at the entrance of…

A city council wants to know the opinion of citizens regarding the construction of a new cycle lane in the city centre. To do this, a surveyor stands at the entrance of a bicycle shop and interviews $150$ people leaving it. Analyse whether the selected sample is representative of the city's population and explain what type of bias is being introduced in the design of the study.

Solve
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It is desired to estimate the mean daily time spent on social media by teenagers across an entire autonomous community. To do this, $200$ students from a private…

It is desired to estimate the mean daily time spent on social media by teenagers across an entire autonomous community. To do this, $200$ students from a private secondary school located in the wealthiest neighbourhood of the capital are selected at random. Justify why this sample is not representative of the population and suggest a more suitable sampling method.

Solve
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A national television channel wants to predict the result of an important legislative referendum. To do this, during a debate program in prime time, it asks viewers to…

A national television channel wants to predict the result of an important legislative referendum. To do this, during a debate program in prime time, it asks viewers to call a premium-rate phone number or send an SMS to vote for their preferred option. More than $100000$ responses are received.

Identify and explain at least three sources of bias (systematic errors) in this sampling design and reason why, despite the huge sample size, the results are unlikely to be representative of the general population.

Solve

Back to the start: The television channel failed because its sampling suffered from self-selection and coverage bias: only mobilised viewers who watched that particular channel called in, showing that $100\,000$ voluntary responses represent society worse than a well-designed random sample.

Summary

See all the exercises in this section