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BAC2 ss · Mathematics
Statistics · The binomial distribution (discrete variable)

Combinatorial numbers

To organise the graduation party, a committee of $3$ people has to be chosen from $20$ volunteers. To calculate the probability that a multiple-choice test has exactly $k$ correct answers by pure guesswork, we need to count in how many ways those $k$ correct answers can be placed among all the questions. Both problems are solved with the same tool: combinatorial numbers.

Before you start, make sure you know: Combinatorics (1st Bachillerato)
Before you start, make sure you know: Combinations (4th ESO)

The factorial

Calculation of 5 factorial and simplification of the fraction 8 factorial over 6 factorial by cancelling common factors 5! = 5·4·3·2·1 = 120 8!/6! = (8·7·6!)/6! = 8·7 = 56 ↑ the common factors cancel
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Calculate and simplify the value of the following expressions without using a calculator, applying the properties of factorials: a) $\frac{8!}{6!}$ b) $\binom{7}{2}$ c)…

Calculate and simplify the value of the following expressions without using a calculator, applying the properties of factorials:

  1. a) $\frac{8!}{6!}$
  1. b) $\binom{7}{2}$
  1. c) $5! - 4!$
Solve

Combinatorial numbers: definition and meaning

Graphical representation of a set of 20 volunteers from which a committee of 3 people is chosen 20 volunteers committee of 3 C(20,3)=1140 ways
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To organize the graduation party for 2.º de Bachillerato, a party committee made up of $3$ students must be chosen. If there are $20$ volunteer students in the class, in…

To organize the graduation party for 2.º de Bachillerato, a party committee made up of $3$ students must be chosen. If there are $20$ volunteer students in the class, in how many different ways can this group be chosen? (The order in which the students are chosen does not matter: only who is on the committee counts.) Use the combinatorial number formula:

$$\binom{n}{r} = \frac{n!}{r!(n-r)!}$$ Twenty students in a box, from which three are chosen to form a committeeStudents (n = 20)Committee (r = 3)
Solve

Properties: symmetry and Stifel's rule

Pascal's triangle up to row 3 showing how the sum of 1 plus 1 gives the value 2 in Stifel's rule Pascal's triangle 1 11 121 1331 C(2,1)=2 comes from C(1,0)+C(1,1)=1+1
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In the section on binomial coefficients, there is a symmetry property stating that $\binom{n}{r} = \binom{n}{n-r}$. Verify this property by calculating the values of…

In the section on binomial coefficients, there is a symmetry property stating that $\binom{n}{r} = \binom{n}{n-r}$.

Verify this property by calculating the values of $\binom{10}{8}$ and $\binom{10}{2}$. What conclusion do you reach regarding the computational effort when $r$ is a number close to $n$?

Solve
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Prove, using the definition of binomial coefficient using factorials, the following identity (known as Pascal's rule or Stifel's identity): $$\binom{n}{k} +…

Prove, using the definition of binomial coefficient using factorials, the following identity (known as Pascal's rule or Stifel's identity):

$$\binom{n}{k} + \binom{n}{k-1} = \binom{n+1}{k}$$

Apply this result to calculate the value of $\displaystyle \binom{10}{4} + \binom{10}{3}$ without calculating each term separately.

Solve

Discrete and continuous variables

Before applying combinatorics to probability, we need to identify what type of random variable is being counted.

Comparison between a discrete variable shown as isolated points at whole-number values and a continuous variable shown as a continuous interval on a number line discrete 0, 1, 2, 3, 4… (counted) continuous any value in the interval (measured)
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Before studying the binomial distribution, it is essential to distinguish the type of variable. Classify the following random variables as discrete or continuous: 1. The…

Before studying the binomial distribution, it is essential to distinguish the type of variable. Classify the following random variables as discrete or continuous:

  1. The number of "likes" an Instagram post receives in one hour.

  2. The exact time it takes a student to get to school.

  3. The number of people who test positive in an antigen test in a sample of $50$ individuals.

  4. The height of the players in the Spanish national basketball team.

Solve

From combinatorics to binomial probability

When an experiment with two outcomes (success/failure) is repeated $n$ times, the combinatorial number is used to count in how many ways the $k$ successes can be placed among the $n$ trials: this count is the missing piece of the binomial formula.

The 6 possible combinations of 2 heads and 2 tails when a fair coin is tossed 4 times 4 coin tosses, exactly 2 heads (H) HHTTHTHTHTTH THHTTHTHTTHH C(4,2)=6 ways of placing the 2 heads
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A study states that $70\%$ of Spanish teenagers use TikTok daily. If we randomly select a group of $8$ teenagers from a secondary school: a) Identify the parameters $n$…

A study states that $70\%$ of Spanish teenagers use TikTok daily. If we randomly select a group of $8$ teenagers from a secondary school:

  1. a) Identify the parameters $n$ and $p$ of the binomial distribution that this situation follows.
  2. b) Define the random variable $X$ associated with this experiment.
  3. c) What is the probability that exactly $8$ teenagers use the app? (State only the formulation of the formula).
0,1 0,2 0,3 P(X=k) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Teenagers who use TikTok (k) P(X=8) = ?
Solve
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Given that for a binomial distribution $B(n, p)$, the probability of obtaining $k$ successes is: $$P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} \cdot p^k \cdot (1-p)^{n-k}$$ Calculate the…

Given that for a binomial distribution $B(n, p)$, the probability of obtaining $k$ successes is:

$$P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} \cdot p^k \cdot (1-p)^{n-k}$$

Calculate the probability of obtaining exactly $2$ heads when tossing a fair coin $4$ times.

Solve
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At a high-performance sports center, a group of 4 athletes is to be selected to represent Spain in an international relay competition. If there are 12 athletes available…

At a high-performance sports center, a group of 4 athletes is to be selected to represent Spain in an international relay competition. If there are 12 athletes available at the center (7 men and 5 women), calculate:

  1. a) The total number of different ways the team of 4 people can be chosen.
  1. b) In how many of those combinations would the team consist of exactly 2 men and 2 women?
  1. c) Use the properties of binomial coefficients to prove, without calculating the numerical value, that:
$$\binom{12}{4} = \binom{11}{3} + \binom{11}{4}$$
Solve

Back to the start: In a multiple-choice test of $n$ questions with $4$ options per question, the probability of getting exactly $k$ right by guessing is $P(X=k) = \binom{n}{k} \cdot 0{,}25^k \cdot 0{,}75^{n-k}$, where the combinatorial number counts all the possible ways of distributing the correct answers.

Summary

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