Back to homeMathematics · 1st Bach. Social Sciences · Change subject
Start for free
BAC1 ss · Mathematics
Probability · Probability

Events

Every day you make decisions without knowing the exact outcome: whether it will rain, whether you will pass an exam, whether you will get a window seat on the bus. Probability puts numbers on that uncertainty, but first we need a precise language to talk about "what can happen". This section sets out that language: what an event is and how events combine with each other, using the same rules you use with sets.

Before you start, make sure you know: Simple events (4th ESO)
Before you start, make sure you know: Compound events (4th ESO)

Random experiment and sample space

Diagram of the sample space of a spinner numbered 1 to 8, distinguishing the elementary event 5 from the compound event made up of the prime numbers 2, 3, 5 and 7. E = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8} (spinner with 8 sectors) 5 elementary event {2, 3, 5, 7} compound event: "a prime comes up"
Practice★☆☆Not started
In the study of everyday phenomena, it is essential to distinguish between certainty and chance. Classify the following experiments as random or deterministic: a) Taking…

In the study of everyday phenomena, it is essential to distinguish between certainty and chance. Classify the following experiments as random or deterministic:

  1. a) Taking a penalty in a training session and observing whether the ball goes into the goal.
  2. b) Measuring the time taken for an object to fall from a height of 5 metres in a vacuum.
  3. c) Observing the number of WhatsApp messages you receive between 17:00 and 18:00 on any given Monday.
  4. d) Calculating the total cost of buying 3 kilograms of oranges if the price per kilogram is $1,25 \text{ €}$.
  5. e) Drawing a card from a Spanish pack of cards and observing whether it is clubs.
Solve
Practice★☆☆Not started
We have a wheel of fortune divided into 8 equal sectors, numbered from 1 to 8. The wheel is spun and the number indicated by the arrow is recorded. Based on this…

We have a wheel of fortune divided into 8 equal sectors, numbered from 1 to 8. The wheel is spun and the number indicated by the arrow is recorded.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on this experiment:

  1. a) Write down the sample space $E$.
  2. b) State the outcomes that form event $A = \text{"getting a number greater than 5"}$.
  3. c) State the outcomes that form event $B = \text{"getting an even number"}$.
  4. d) Describe the complementary event $\bar{A}$ in words.
Solve

Operations with events: union, intersection, complement

Since events are sets, they are combined using the same operations you already know from sets: probability does not invent anything new here.

Operation Notation Meaning
Union $A \cup B$ $A$ occurs, or $B$, or both
Intersection $A \cap B$ $A$ and $B$ occur at the same time
Complement $\overline{A}$ $A$ does not occur (it is $E - A$)
Difference $A - B$ $A$ occurs but not $B$ (it is $A \cap \overline{B}$)
Venn diagrams illustrating the basic operations with events: union, intersection, complement and difference within a sample space. A B A ∩ B A ∪ B = everything shaded
Practice★☆☆Not started
A group of friends analyse their hobbies. Let $D$ be the event "playing sport" and $M$ be the event "playing a musical instrument". Express the following situations…

A group of friends analyse their hobbies. Let $D$ be the event "playing sport" and $M$ be the event "playing a musical instrument". Express the following situations symbolically using operations on events:

  1. a) The friend plays sport or plays an instrument (or both).
  2. b) The friend plays sport and also plays an instrument.
  3. c) The friend plays sport but does not play any instrument.
  4. d) The friend neither plays sport nor plays any instrument.
Solve

De Morgan's laws

Negating a union or an intersection follows a fixed rule: the same one you will use if you program conditions with AND/OR/NOT.

Venn diagram showing De Morgan's law: the region outside the union of A and B is equivalent to the intersection of the complements of A and B. A ∪ B complement = outside both = Ā ∩ B̄
Practice★☆☆Not started
In a bag there are 10 balls numbered from 1 to 10. We consider the following events: $A = \{1, 3, 5, 7, 9\}$ $B = \{6, 7, 8, 9, 10\}$ Find the elements of the following…

In a bag there are 10 balls numbered from 1 to 10. We consider the following events:

$A = \{1, 3, 5, 7, 9\}$

$B = \{6, 7, 8, 9, 10\}$

Find the elements of the following resulting events:

  1. a) $A \cup B$
  2. b) $A \cap B$
  3. c) $\bar{A}$ (complementary event of $A$)
  4. d) $A - B$ (outcomes that are in $A$ but not in $B$)
Solve
Practice★★☆Not started
Given two events $A$ and $B$ in a random experiment, we know that the probability that neither of them occurs is $P(\bar{A} \cap \bar{B}) = 0,3$. If it is also known…

Given two events $A$ and $B$ in a random experiment, we know that the probability that neither of them occurs is $P(\bar{A} \cap \bar{B}) = 0,3$. If it is also known that $P(A) = 0,4$ and $P(B) = 0,5$, determine:

  1. a) Are $A$ and $B$ incompatible events? Justify your answer.
  2. b) Are $A$ and $B$ independent events?
  3. c) Calculate $P(A \cap \bar{B})$.
Solve

Compatible and incompatible events

Venn diagrams comparing compatible events, which overlap in their intersection, and incompatible events, shown as disjoint sets. compatible (they touch) incompatible
Practice★★☆Not started
In a survey carried out among 1st-year Bachillerato students about their subscriptions to streaming platforms, it was found that $60\%$ are subscribed to Netflix ($N$),…

In a survey carried out among 1st-year Bachillerato students about their subscriptions to streaming platforms, it was found that $60\%$ are subscribed to Netflix ($N$), $45\%$ to HBO Max ($H$) and $20\%$ are not subscribed to either of the two. If we choose a student at random, calculate:

  1. a) The probability that they are subscribed to both platforms.
  1. b) The probability that they are subscribed to Netflix but not to HBO Max ($P(N - H)$).
  1. c) Represent the situation using a Venn diagram (draw the sample space $E$ and the sets $N$ and $H$), indicating the probabilities of each region.
Solve
Practice★★☆Not started
Observe the following Venn diagram representing the probabilities of events $A$ (studying French) and $B$ (studying German) in a language centre. Using the data from the…

Observe the following Venn diagram representing the probabilities of events $A$ (studying French) and $B$ (studying German) in a language centre.

E A French B German 0,25 0,15 0,35 Neither 0,25

Using the data from the chart, calculate:

  1. a) $P(A \cup B)$
  2. b) $P(\bar{A} | B)$
  3. c) $P(\bar{A} \cap \bar{B})$ using De Morgan's Laws.
Solve

Summary

See all the exercises in this section