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Economic reality: a macroeconomic perspective · Labour economics

The labor market and unemployment

Drive through any Texas town and you will see 'Now Hiring' signs in the windows, yet some people there still cannot find a job. How is that possible? The labor market has its own supply, its own demand and its own price: the wage. But unlike the market for oranges, here the commodity is hours of your life, and the price cannot always fall freely until the market clears. You will use the same supply-and-demand language you already know to see why, even at equilibrium, some people are left without a job.

Supply and demand for labor: the equilibrium wage

Supply and demand graph for labor showing the equilibrium wage and the excess supply created by a minimum wage set above that equilibrium. workers wage demand supply equilibrium minimum wage L1 (jobs) unemployment L2 (workers)
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The figure shows the labor market of an imaginary country: labor supply and demand, the equilibrium wage, and a minimum wage set above it. a) Read the equilibrium wage…

The figure shows the labor market of an imaginary country: labor supply and demand, the equilibrium wage, and a minimum wage set above it.

workers wage demand supply minimum wage 700 900 L₀ ?
  1. a) Read the equilibrium wage and minimum wage from the graph.
  2. b) Explain what imbalance occurs when setting the minimum wage above equilibrium.
Solve
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What is the federal minimum wage, who sets it in the United States and what is it for? Explain in your own words why there is a wage floor even though the market could…

What is the federal minimum wage, who sets it in the United States and what is it for? Explain in your own words why there is a wage floor even though the market could pay some workers less.

Solve
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In a fictitious labor market, the equilibrium wage would be $\$6$ an hour. A minimum wage of $\$8$ is set: at that level, firms demand $1$ million workers and $1.3$…

In a fictitious labor market, the equilibrium wage would be $\$6$ an hour. A minimum wage of $\$8$ is set: at that level, firms demand $1$ million workers and $1.3$ million people want to work.

  1. a) Quantify the imbalance and represent it with the labor market model.
  2. b) Set out the arguments of defenders and critics of the minimum wage with these data, and reason what elasticities the real effect on employment depends on.
  3. c) What empirical evidence would you ask for to settle the question?
Solve
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The debate over the minimum wage: some argue that raising it destroys jobs; others maintain that it improves workers' lives and barely affects hiring. a) Use the labor…

The debate over the minimum wage: some argue that raising it destroys jobs; others maintain that it improves workers' lives and barely affects hiring.

  1. a) Use the labor market model to represent the argument of those who oppose raising it.
  2. b) What data would you request to find out which effect dominates in reality? Explain why this debate is empirical and not just theoretical.
Solve

The Current Population Survey and the unemployment rate

Diagram of the labor categories according to the CPS: the labor force, made up of the employed and the unemployed, distinguished from people not in the labor force. Employed Unemployed Not in labor force labor force

The Current Population Survey (CPS) is a monthly household survey run by the Census Bureau for the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). It also helps identify discouraged workers: people who want a job but have stopped searching because they believe none is available. They are not in the labor force, so they are not counted as unemployed. Besides the unemployment rate, the BLS reports the number of employed people and the jobs on employers' payrolls (payroll employment), which help show whether the job market is truly improving.

The participation rate rose sharply in the U.S. from the 1960s to the 1990s mainly because many more women entered paid work. A higher rate means more people producing goods and services, so the economy can produce more and grow.

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Define the economically active population (labor force) and inactive population, and classify: an employed nurse, a high school student, a retiree, an unemployed person…

Define the economically active population (labor force) and inactive population, and classify: an employed nurse, a high school student, a retiree, an unemployed person looking for work, and a person caring for their family without seeking paid employment.

Solve
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Define, according to the Current Population Survey (CPS), who counts as employed, who as unemployed and who as not in the labor force. Give a specific example of each…

Define, according to the Current Population Survey (CPS), who counts as employed, who as unemployed and who as not in the labor force. Give a specific example of each among people you know (real or fictitious) and justify the classification.

Solve
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What is the labor force participation rate (the labor force divided by the population aged $16$ and over) and why does a country want it to rise? Explain what historical…

What is the labor force participation rate (the labor force divided by the population aged $16$ and over) and why does a country want it to rise? Explain what historical change made it grow so much in Spain in recent decades (the entry of women into paid work).

Solve
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In a region, there are $20,000$ active people and $3,000$ unemployed people. a) Calculate the unemployment rate and the number of employed people. b) If $1,000$…

In a region, there are $20,000$ active people and $3,000$ unemployed people.

  1. a) Calculate the unemployment rate and the number of employed people.
  2. b) If $1,000$ unemployed people stop looking for work and become inactive, what happens to the unemployment rate? Recalculate and comment on the result.
Solve
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In a country there are $20$ million people aged $16$ or over, of whom $12$ million are in the labor force and $2$ million are unemployed. a) Calculate the labor force…

In a country there are $20$ million people aged $16$ or over, of whom $12$ million are in the labor force and $2$ million are unemployed.

  1. a) Calculate the labor force participation rate and the unemployment rate.
  2. b) Calculate the number of employed people and explain the relationship between the labor force, the employed, and the unemployed.
Solve
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A region's unemployment rate falls from $14\ \%$ to $13\ \%$, but that same year $100,000$ people have left the labor force (they stopped looking for work). a) Explain…

A region's unemployment rate falls from $14\ \%$ to $13\ \%$, but that same year $100,000$ people have left the labor force (they stopped looking for work).

  1. a) Explain how unemployment can fall without any jobs being created.
  2. b) What data would you look at, besides the unemployment rate, to know whether the labor market is really improving (employed, labor force, Social Security registration)? Justify each one.
Solve

The four types of unemployment

Concept diagram with the four types of unemployment: frictional, seasonal, structural and cyclical. Frictional normal search Seasonal season Structural technical mismatch Cyclical recession
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Name the four types of unemployment and assign each case to its type: a waiter at a ski resort in summer, a cashier replaced by self-checkout machines, a recent graduate…

Name the four types of unemployment and assign each case to its type: a waiter at a ski resort in summer, a cashier replaced by self-checkout machines, a recent graduate who takes months to find their first job, and a factory worker laid off during a recession.

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A bicycle factory closes because e-scooters take over the urban market. a) What type of unemployment do its workers experience? Justify your answer. b) Propose an…

A bicycle factory closes because e-scooters take over the urban market.

  1. a) What type of unemployment do its workers experience? Justify your answer.
  2. b) Propose an appropriate corrective measure for that type of unemployment and explain how it would work.
Solve
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A person takes three months to find their first job after graduating, even though there are job openings in their sector. a) What type of unemployment are they…

A person takes three months to find their first job after graduating, even though there are job openings in their sector.

  1. a) What type of unemployment are they experiencing and why is it considered almost "physiological" (normal in any economy)?
  2. b) Explain why a little of this unemployment can even be a sign of a healthy market (searching for a good match) and what policies reduce it (job opening information, job portals, career counseling).
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A mining basin closes its last mines: thousands of $50$-year-old workers with highly specialized trades are left without work in an area with no other industries. a)…

A mining basin closes its last mines: thousands of $50$-year-old workers with highly specialized trades are left without work in an area with no other industries.

  1. a) What type of unemployment is this and how does it differ from what a waiter would experience at the end of the summer?
  2. b) Explain why retraining courses are not enough if no companies come to the area, and what complementary measures would be needed (infrastructure, attracting businesses, relocation assistance).
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Labor force participation, work arrangements and unions

Comparison of two types of contract: the permanent contract, with no end date, and the temporary contract, with an agreed end date. Permanent no end date Temporary agreed end date
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Distinguish between a permanent contract and a temporary contract. Explain what advantages and disadvantages each one has for the worker and for the company, and why…

Distinguish between a permanent contract and a temporary contract. Explain what advantages and disadvantages each one has for the worker and for the company, and why young people so often end up in temporary jobs.

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What is collective bargaining and who sits at the table (representatives of the workers, such as labor unions, and of the companies)? Explain what a collective…

What is collective bargaining and who sits at the table (representatives of the workers, such as labor unions, and of the companies)? Explain what a collective bargaining agreement is and name two things it usually regulates (wages, working hours).

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Employment policies, underemployment and long-term unemployment

Flow diagram showing the step after losing your job: unemployment insurance benefits and, when they run out, means-tested aid. You lose your job UI benefits runs out Means-tested aid

To judge an active policy, ask more than 'how many got jobs?'. Compare with a similar group that did not take the program, and also look at how long the jobs last, the wages, and the cost per person placed.

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Distinguish between active and passive labor market policies and classify these measures: retraining courses for the unemployed, unemployment benefits, youth hiring…

Distinguish between active and passive labor market policies and classify these measures: retraining courses for the unemployed, unemployment benefits, youth hiring subsidies, and income support. What is the objective of each set of measures?

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A welding course for $200$ unemployed people places $60$ of them within six months. a) Is it a success or a failure? Explain what comparison group you would use to find…

A welding course for $200$ unemployed people places $60$ of them within six months.

  1. a) Is it a success or a failure? Explain what comparison group you would use to find out (how many would have found work without the course?).
  2. b) What other data would you ask for to evaluate the policy (quality and duration of the jobs, wages, cost per person placed)?
Solve

Back to the beginning: That is why 'Now Hiring' signs and people without jobs can exist in the same town. Even at equilibrium there is always some unemployment, because the process of searching for and changing jobs takes time (frictional unemployment) and there are training mismatches or institutional barriers, such as the minimum wage, that prevent the market from clearing.

Summary

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