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Economic reality: a macroeconomic perspective · International trade and the financial system

International trade and economic integration

Why does the United States sell aircraft and soybeans abroad while buying sneakers and electronics? The answer is not just "because it has too much of one and too little of the other": there is an economic logic behind it, that of specialization, which explains why trading benefits even countries that could make everything themselves.

Absolute and comparative advantage

Comparison of cloth and wine production per hour between Norte and Sur, highlighting the opportunity costs and Sur's comparative advantage in wine. Norte6 cloth / 2 wine (1h) Sur4 cloth / 4 wine (1h) Norte: 1 wine costs 3 cloth · Sur: 1 wine costs 1 cloth Sur has a comparative advantage in wine
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Country A produces $1\ \text{kg}$ of cheese with $2$ hours of work and country B, with $4$ hours. a) Which country has an absolute advantage in cheese? Justify your…

Country A produces $1\ \text{kg}$ of cheese with $2$ hours of work and country B, with $4$ hours.

  1. a) Which country has an absolute advantage in cheese? Justify your answer.
  2. b) According to the theory of absolute advantage, what does it recommend each country do? Explain the logic of specialization.
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The country Vega produces wheat with half the labor of Olma, and Olma produces wine with half the labor of Vega. a) Explain what absolute advantage is and who has it for…

The country Vega produces wheat with half the labor of Olma, and Olma produces wine with half the labor of Vega.

  1. a) Explain what absolute advantage is and who has it for each product.
  2. b) Reason why both countries can benefit if they specialize and trade with each other.
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With one hour of work, the country Norte produces $6$ meters of cloth or $2$ liters of wine; the country Sur produces $4$ meters of cloth or $4$ liters of wine. a) Who…

With one hour of work, the country Norte produces $6$ meters of cloth or $2$ liters of wine; the country Sur produces $4$ meters of cloth or $4$ liters of wine.

  1. a) Who has an absolute advantage in each product?
  2. b) Calculate the opportunity cost of producing one liter of wine in each country (in meters of cloth) and state who has a comparative advantage in wine.
  3. c) Explain how specialization according to comparative advantage can benefit both countries.
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The balance of trade

Representation of the balance of trade as the difference between exports and imports, distinguishing situations of surplus and deficit. exports imports surplus imports exports deficit
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Define exports and imports and explain what the balance of trade is. When do we say that a country has a trade deficit or a trade surplus?

Define exports and imports and explain what the balance of trade is. When do we say that a country has a trade deficit or a trade surplus?

Solve
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The figure shows the exports and imports of an imaginary country over three years, in billions of dollars. a) Calculate the trade balance for each year. b) In which…

The figure shows the exports and imports of an imaginary country over three years, in billions of dollars.

250 280 300 290 320 300 year 1 year 2 year 3 exports imports
  1. a) Calculate the trade balance for each year.
  2. b) In which years was there a deficit, and in which years a surplus?
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A country has a goods trade deficit of $40,000$ million dollars and a services surplus (tourism, transport) of $25,000$ million. a) Calculate the total balance of goods…

A country has a goods trade deficit of $40,000$ million dollars and a services surplus (tourism, transport) of $25,000$ million.

  1. a) Calculate the total balance of goods and services and state its sign.
  2. b) Explain which sectors drive each balance in a country like Spain and what "offsetting" the goods deficit with tourism means.
Solve

Protectionism, tariffs and dumping

Comparison of the prices of a product, imported before and after a 20% tariff, with the price of a locally made product. $50 +20% $60 imported $55 local tariff
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Explain the difference between free trade and protectionism. Then solve: a pair of imported sneakers costs $\$50$ and the country applies a tariff of $20\ \%…

Explain the difference between free trade and protectionism. Then solve: a pair of imported sneakers costs $\$50$ and the country applies a tariff of $20\ \%$, what final price do consumers pay?

Solve
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Besides tariffs, there is the import quota: a limit on the quantity of a product that can enter the country. Explain the difference between taxing an imported product…

Besides tariffs, there is the import quota: a limit on the quantity of a product that can enter the country. Explain the difference between taxing an imported product with a tariff and putting a quota on it, and reason what effect each one has on the price and the available quantity.

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A country sells its steel abroad below the cost of production, subsidized by its government, and sinks the steel mills of competing countries. a) What is "dumping" and…

A country sells its steel abroad below the cost of production, subsidized by its government, and sinks the steel mills of competing countries.

  1. a) What is "dumping" and why is it considered unfair competition?
  2. b) What response do the affected countries usually give (anti-dumping duties) and what risk of trade escalation is there?
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Who wins and who loses from trade barriers?

Every trade policy creates winners and losers. To see the whole picture, economists look at three groups: consumers, domestic producers, and the government. Consumer surplus is the gap between what buyers are willing to pay and what they actually pay; producer surplus is the gap between the price sellers receive and their cost.

Bar chart of the effects of a 20% tariff in dollars: consumers lose 19,000, producers gain 12,500, the government collects 5,000 and 1,500 is lost to society. −19,000Consumers +12,500Producers +5,000Government −1,500Deadweight loss

Steel is an input. Higher steel prices raise costs for car makers and appliance firms, so they sell less and may cut jobs. That is why industries that use steel often oppose a steel tariff, even though steel producers support it.

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The government of a country decides to levy a 20% tariff on steel imports to protect its domestic steel mills, whose market share has fallen in the face of cheaper…

The government of a country decides to levy a 20% tariff on steel imports to protect its domestic steel mills, whose market share has fallen in the face of cheaper foreign imports.

  1. a) Using surplus analysis (consumers, producers, and the government), predict the consequences of this measure on overall economic welfare and explain why domestic car manufacturers are radically opposed to it.
  2. b) The main steel-exporting country decides not to appeal to the WTO and prepares immediate retaliation. If you were its Secretary of Commerce, would you tax the steel sold to you by the first country, or would you choose other strategic goods from politically sensitive sectors? Design and justify a retaliatory strategy and predict the dynamic of the protectionist spiral that would be triggered.
Solve
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A bloc of countries decides to totally embargo oil and gas imports from a neighboring power in retaliation for a geopolitical conflict. The power had previously supplied…

A bloc of countries decides to totally embargo oil and gas imports from a neighboring power in retaliation for a geopolitical conflict. The power had previously supplied 40% of the bloc's hydrocarbons.

  1. a) Using the concepts of price elasticity of demand and supply in the energy sector in the short and long run, predict the initial asymmetric impact on inflation in the sanctioning countries compared to the budgetary resilience of the sanctioned country.
  2. b) In the global oil market, "trade diversion" quickly occurs: the sanctioned power sells crude oil to emerging economies at a 15% discount, while the sanctioning countries buy from distant suppliers, paying record prices and high maritime freight rates. Interpret why this dynamic may weaken the objective of the sanction and what factors will determine its effectiveness in the long term.
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The European Union is negotiating a free trade agreement with a non-EU bloc that boasts a huge low-cost agricultural and livestock capacity (with lower labor and…

The European Union is negotiating a free trade agreement with a non-EU bloc that boasts a huge low-cost agricultural and livestock capacity (with lower labor and environmental standards), but which currently levies tariffs of between 20 % and 35 % on European industrial machinery and automobiles, and restricts access for European services to its market.

  1. a) Identify the intersectoral distributive conflict that this agreement generates within Spain. Justify comparatively what impact consumers and the capital goods industry will experience versus the domestic livestock and citrus farming sectors.
  2. b) As an advisor to the European negotiating team, design two specific clauses (such as gradual tariff-rate quotas or mirror clauses on phytosanitary and animal welfare standards) to balance the agreement. Justify how your proposals correct unfair competition without causing the ratification of the trade agreement to fail.
  3. c) Refute the following claim with economic arguments: «Any trade agreement that increases a country's aggregate GDP is automatically desirable for its society as a whole».
Solve

Exchange rates and trade

Buyers and sellers in different countries use different currencies, so trade needs a price of one currency in terms of another: the exchange rate. Always say how it is quoted, for example "£1 = $\$1.25$" or "¥150 per $\$1$".

Exchange rate between the British pound and the U.S. dollar: one pound buys 1.25 dollars. £1 $1.25
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What is the exchange rate between two currencies? If $1\ \text{€} = 1.10\ \text{dollars}$, calculate how many dollars a $20\ \text{€}$ book costs and how many euros a…

What is the exchange rate between two currencies? If $1\ \text{€} = 1.10\ \text{dollars}$, calculate how many dollars a $20\ \text{€}$ book costs and how many euros a pair of sneakers costing $110\ \text{dollars}$ costs.

Solve
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An exporter from Valencia sells oranges to Germany and to a country outside the eurozone. a) Explain what advantages the euro gives it when selling to Germany. b) What…

An exporter from Valencia sells oranges to Germany and to a country outside the eurozone.

  1. a) Explain what advantages the euro gives it when selling to Germany.
  2. b) What additional problem does it face when selling to the other country? Explain what exchange rate risk is.
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The euro depreciates against the dollar: from $1\ \text{€} = 1.10\ \text{dollars}$ it moves to $1\ \text{€} = 1.00\ \text{dollar}$. a) Explain what happens to the price…

The euro depreciates against the dollar: from $1\ \text{€} = 1.10\ \text{dollars}$ it moves to $1\ \text{€} = 1.00\ \text{dollar}$.

  1. a) Explain what happens to the price American tourists pay in Spain and to the price Spaniards pay in the United States.
  2. b) Analyze the effect on Spanish exports of goods and tourism, and on Spanish imports of products priced in dollars (oil).
Solve

Trade agreements and trade organizations

Four things that move freely inside a common market: goods, people, services, and capital. Goods People Services Capital move freely inside a common market (example: the EU)
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The European Union is a customs union: inside it there are no tariffs and outside it the same common tariff applies. Explain with an example what that means for a…

The European Union is a customs union: inside it there are no tariffs and outside it the same common tariff applies. Explain with an example what that means for a Valencian orange traveling to Germany, as opposed to an orange from a third country entering through the port of Valencia.

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Explain what belonging to the European Single Market means for a Spanish company when selling to France compared to selling to a country outside the EU. Mention tariffs,…

Explain what belonging to the European Single Market means for a Spanish company when selling to France compared to selling to a country outside the EU. Mention tariffs, common standards, and the free movement of goods.

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A fictitious country leaves the customs union it belonged to. A strawberry-exporting firm used to sell to its neighbors with no paperwork. a) List what changes for the…

A fictitious country leaves the customs union it belonged to. A strawberry-exporting firm used to sell to its neighbors with no paperwork.

  1. a) List what changes for the firm (tariffs, sanitary controls, customs, delivery times).
  2. b) Explain why perishable products suffer more than others from border controls and what the firm can do to adapt.
Solve

Global value chains and their risks

Diagram of a global value chain that spreads the design, screen, processor and assembly of a product across four countries. processor: country A screen: country B assembly: country C design: country D

The trade-off behind nearshoring and friendshoring: firms give up some efficiency (the gains from comparative advantage and economies of scale) in exchange for lower risk of supply disruptions. In the medium term this tends to raise production costs, which can push prices up a little, while making supply more reliable.

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A textile company in the Carolinas manufactures shirts at an average cost of 22 dollars per unit. Shirts of similar appearance and design from Southeast Asia are sold in…

A textile company in the Carolinas manufactures shirts at an average cost of 22 dollars per unit. Shirts of similar appearance and design from Southeast Asia are sold in the United States for 8 dollars, due to lower labor and regulatory costs at origin.

  1. a) Design a strategic turnaround plan for the Carolinas company that allows it to survive without competing on price or resorting to offshoring. Economically justify which competitive advantages it would rely on and why a segment of consumers would be willing to pay the price premium.
  2. b) The local textile employers' association demands a 150% tariff from the federal government on imported clothing to "save industrial jobs". Assess the aggregate impact of this measure on the national economy: to whom would the tariff transfer income, and what side effects would it have on household disposable income and on the exports of other sectors?
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In the face of recent supply chain crises and geopolitical tensions, Western economies are reconsidering offshoring* (producing where costs are lowest) to bet on…

In the face of recent supply chain crises and geopolitical tensions, Western economies are reconsidering offshoring (producing where costs are lowest) to bet on nearshoring (relocating to neighboring countries) and friendshoring (trading preferentially with allied countries).

  1. a) Analyze the economic dilemma or trade-off underlying this reconfiguration: what efficiency losses (comparative advantage and economies of scale) are accepted in exchange for mitigating strategic risks? Predict the structural impact of this shift on prices and the inflation rate in the medium term.
  2. b) If the federal government had limited public funds to subsidize the relocation of strategic sectors, choose and contrast two of the following fields: advanced microelectronics (chips), basic active pharmaceutical ingredients, textile assembly, or solar panel production. Justify which one you would prioritize based on the difficulty of substitution in the event of a crisis and the opportunity cost of the invested capital.
Solve

Back to the beginning: The United States exports aircraft and soybeans because its opportunity cost of producing them is lower than in other countries (comparative advantage), and it imports sneakers and electronics because it would cost comparatively far more resources to manufacture them at home, gaining in well-being from the exchange.

Summary

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