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Scientific Thinking and the Scientific Method

Ximena has two geraniums on the balcony of her apartment in Puebla: the one in the sun is taller than the one in the shade. Is that a coincidence, or does the sun really make a difference? This is how people who do science think: they observe something, ask why it happens, propose an explanation, and look for a way to test it.

Thinking Like a Scientist

Scientific thinking is a way of posing and solving problems, at school and in everyday life: Why does my soup get cold? Why won't the TV remote work? There is no single, rigid method. Depending on the problem, you take different routes: observing, asking questions, building a model, experimenting, arguing with evidence, and communicating what you found.

A very common route, which works as a guide, has four stages. It is not a recipe to follow always in this order: sometimes you go back, repeat a stage, or change your mind.

Diagram of the four common stages: observation, hypothesis, experimentation, and conclusions, with a curved arrow going back from the conclusions to the hypothesis showing that, if the hypothesis is not confirmed, a new one is proposed. 1. Observation 2. Hypothesis 3. Experimentation 4. Conclusions If the hypothesis is not confirmed (dashed arrow), a new hypothesis is proposed and tested again
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The steps of the scientific method are out of order: experimentation, observation, conclusions and hypothesis. Write them in the correct order and explain in one…

The steps of the scientific method are out of order: experimentation, observation, conclusions and hypothesis. Write them in the correct order and explain in one sentence what is done in each step.

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State whether each sentence is an observation or a hypothesis: a) "This morning the playground was wet." b) "I think it rained overnight." c) "The swimming pool water is…

State whether each sentence is an observation or a hypothesis:

  1. a) "This morning the playground was wet."
  2. b) "I think it rained overnight."
  3. c) "The swimming pool water is at $24\ ^\circ\text{C}$."
  4. d) "If I leave my bike outside when it rains, it will rust faster."
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Classify these statements into "scientific hypotheses" (can be tested with an experiment) or "non-scientific", and justify one from each group: a) "On Fridays I have bad…

Classify these statements into "scientific hypotheses" (can be tested with an experiment) or "non-scientific", and justify one from each group:

  1. a) "On Fridays I have bad luck in exams."
  2. b) "A new ball bounces more than an old ball."
  3. c) "Salt water boils at a higher temperature than plain water."
  4. d) "Black cats bring bad luck."
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Hypotheses and Questions in Everyday Life

Science isn't only done in a laboratory. When the remote control stops working and someone says "the batteries must be dead," they are proposing a hypothesis; changing the batteries is the test.

To formulate a good hypothesis:

  • Start from a specific observation.

  • Make it an explanation that can be tested with an experiment.

  • Make it relate two things: "if A happens, then B happens."

You can have several hypotheses for the same fact. What's useful is to rank them from most likely to least likely and test first the one that is easiest to try.

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Vera has two geraniums on her balcony: the one in the sun is taller than the one in the shade. a) Write down the observation Vera has made. b) Formulate a hypothesis to…

Vera has two geraniums on her balcony: the one in the sun is taller than the one in the shade.

  1. a) Write down the observation Vera has made.
  2. b) Formulate a hypothesis to explain what she sees.
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The TV remote control at Sofía's house stops working, and her father says: "I'm sure the batteries are dead". a) Which stage of the scientific method does this sentence…

The TV remote control at Sofía's house stops working, and her father says: "I'm sure the batteries are dead".

  1. a) Which stage of the scientific method does this sentence represent?
  2. b) What would you do to check whether it is true?
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Nadia notices ants on the sidewalk marching in a line toward a piece of cookie. For this event, write down: a) An observation and a scientific question. b) A hypothesis…

Nadia notices ants on the sidewalk marching in a line toward a piece of cookie. For this event, write down:

  1. a) An observation and a scientific question.
  2. b) A hypothesis and a sentence describing the first test you would carry out to check it.
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The Variables of an Experiment

To find out whether the sun affects how geraniums grow, you have to compare plants that differ only in the light they get. If you change several things at once in a comparison, you won't know which one caused the effect.

Two identical cups with the same water level in the same freezer, one without salt and one with salt, each with a thermometer. The salt is the independent variable, the measured temperature is the dependent variable, and the water, the cup, and the freezer are control variables. freezer no salt with salt independent changed control kept the same dependent measured
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In an experiment, the slope of a ramp is changed to see how a toy car rolls. The setup is shown in the figure: a) Explain in your own words what a variable is in an…

In an experiment, the slope of a ramp is changed to see how a toy car rolls. The setup is shown in the figure:

toy car ramp
  1. a) Explain in your own words what a variable is in an experiment.
  2. b) Which variable is changed in this case?
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You want to find out whether an egg floats more easily in very salty water than in salt-free water. Observe the setup in the figure: Write down: a) Your hypothesis. b)…

You want to find out whether an egg floats more easily in very salty water than in salt-free water. Observe the setup in the figure:

water without salt salty water

Write down:

  1. a) Your hypothesis.
  2. b) The variable you change.
  3. c) The variable you observe or measure.
  4. d) Two things that must be kept the same in both glasses.
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Mateo sets lentils to germinate in two glasses with damp cotton: one on the windowsill and the other inside a dark cupboard. a) Which variable is he changing? b) Which…

Mateo sets lentils to germinate in two glasses with damp cotton: one on the windowsill and the other inside a dark cupboard.

  1. a) Which variable is he changing?
  2. b) Which variable will he measure to make a comparison?
  3. c) Name two variables he must keep the same to ensure a fair test.
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Designing a Fair Experiment

Once the variables are clear, you can design a test. A good design answers:

  1. What is the hypothesis?

  2. What do I change (independent variable) and what do I measure (dependent variable)?

  3. What do I keep the same (control variables)?

  4. What steps do I follow, and what result do I expect if the hypothesis is true?

When testing a product (a fertilizer, a medicine, a set of tires), it helps to have a control group: a group identical to the other in everything, but without the factor being tested. That way you know what would have happened without it.

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Sofía's soup cools down faster in a shallow plate than in a deep bowl. a) Formulate a hypothesis that explains this. b) Describe a simple experiment to test it and state…

Sofía's soup cools down faster in a shallow plate than in a deep bowl.

  1. a) Formulate a hypothesis that explains this.
  2. b) Describe a simple experiment to test it and state what you would measure.
Solve
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Bread in the kitchen drawer goes mouldy faster than bread kept in the fridge. a) Formulate a hypothesis that explains this. b) Design a simple test: what you would…

Bread in the kitchen drawer goes mouldy faster than bread kept in the fridge.

  1. a) Formulate a hypothesis that explains this.
  2. b) Design a simple test: what you would change, what you would observe, and what important factor must stay the same (control variable).
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Your friend Enzo claims: "I run faster with my new sneakers". a) Turn his claim into a testable hypothesis. b) Propose a simple experiment indicating what you would…

Your friend Enzo claims: "I run faster with my new sneakers".

  1. a) Turn his claim into a testable hypothesis.
  2. b) Propose a simple experiment indicating what you would measure and what should be kept the same.
Solve
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You want to test whether water temperature affects the rate at which sugar dissolves. Design a complete experiment indicating: a) The hypothesis. b) The variable you…

You want to test whether water temperature affects the rate at which sugar dissolves. Design a complete experiment indicating:

  1. a) The hypothesis.
  2. b) The variable you will change (independent) and the one you will measure (dependent).
  3. c) Two variables you will keep the same (control variables).
  4. d) The steps you would follow and the expected result if your hypothesis is correct.
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Repeat, and Be Wary of the Odd One Out

You time three times how long a marble takes to fall off the table and get $0.45\ \text{s}$, $0.47\ \text{s}$, and $1.12\ \text{s}$. Can you trust a single measurement? Can you just erase the last one?

Number line of fall times: two close measurements, 0.45 s and 0.47 s, and one far away, 1.12 s, marked as suspicious. 0 0.5 1.0 1.5 Fall time (s) 0.45 y 0.47 s 1.12 s: suspicious
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Leo wants to know whether a drink cools down faster in the fridge or in the freezer. He puts a large bottle of soft drink in the fridge and a small can in the freezer,…

Leo wants to know whether a drink cools down faster in the fridge or in the freezer. He puts a large bottle of soft drink in the fridge and a small can in the freezer, and measures the time each takes to reach $8\ ^\circ\text{C}$.

  1. a) Point out the flaws in the design.
  2. b) Redesign the experiment so that it is a fair test.
  3. c) Explain why only one factor at a time should be changed in an experiment.
Solve
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Izan repeats the same experiment three times and measures the time it takes for an ice cube to melt: $8$ minutes, $8.5$ minutes and $20$ minutes. a) Which value seems…

Izan repeats the same experiment three times and measures the time it takes for an ice cube to melt: $8$ minutes, $8.5$ minutes and $20$ minutes.

  1. a) Which value seems suspicious? Why?
  2. b) What should Izan do with that data point before drawing conclusions?
  3. c) Explain why experiments are repeated multiple times in science.
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When the Hypothesis Isn't Confirmed

A hypothesis can turn out to be false, and that is progress too. If the results don't match what was predicted, you check the experiment (were there mistakes?) and, if it was done well, you replace the hypothesis with a more precise one.

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Martina is certain that, if dropped at the same time from the same height, a heavy ball always hits the ground before a light one. However, when she drops a basketball…

Martina is certain that, if dropped at the same time from the same height, a heavy ball always hits the ground before a light one. However, when she drops a basketball and a tennis ball, they both land at almost the same time.

  1. a) Explain what a scientist should do when the results do not support their hypothesis.
  2. b) Write a new hypothesis that Martina could test now.
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You leave two identical glasses containing $100\ \text{mL}$ of water on the window sill, one covered with cling film and the other uncovered. The figure shows the setup…

You leave two identical glasses containing $100\ \text{mL}$ of water on the window sill, one covered with cling film and the other uncovered. The figure shows the setup at the start of the experiment:

cling film 100 mL uncovered covered
  1. a) Predict what will happen to the water level in each glass after one week.
  2. b) Explain the role of the covered glass in the experiment.
  3. c) State what you would measure and when, in order to test your prediction.
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"If I wear my lucky shirt, my team wins." a) Explain why this statement, as it is worded, is not a good scientific hypothesis. b) Rewrite a similar statement that can be…

"If I wear my lucky shirt, my team wins."

  1. a) Explain why this statement, as it is worded, is not a good scientific hypothesis.
  2. b) Rewrite a similar statement that can be tested with an experiment.
  3. c) Briefly describe how you would test it.
Solve
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Diego's drone will not turn on. a) Propose three different hypotheses to explain this and rank them from most to least likely in your opinion. b) Describe a simple test…

Diego's drone will not turn on.

  1. a) Propose three different hypotheses to explain this and rank them from most to least likely in your opinion.
  2. b) Describe a simple test to rule out each one, starting with the easiest to check.
Solve
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An advertisement claims: "CrecePlus fertiliser makes plants grow twice as fast". a) What experiment would you want to see to believe the advertisement? Describe the…

An advertisement claims: "CrecePlus fertiliser makes plants grow twice as fast".

  1. a) What experiment would you want to see to believe the advertisement? Describe the control group, what would be measured, and for how long.
  2. b) Explain why a photo of a giant plant is not sufficient.
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Women and Men Who Do Physics

Science is built by people, with ideas, mistakes, and a great deal of perseverance.

  • Marie Curie (Poland and France) studied radioactivity and won two Nobel Prizes, in Physics and in Chemistry.

  • Guillermo González Camarena (Mexico) invented a color television system in the 20th century.

  • Julieta Fierro (Mexico) is an astrophysicist at UNAM and one of the best-known science communicators in the country.

  • Galileo Galilei (Italy) proposed measuring and experimenting to understand motion.

Today there are Mexican scientists at universities such as UNAM and the IPN, and at research centers all over the country.

Back to the beginning: to find out whether the sun affects the geraniums, Ximena can grow several identical geraniums with the same soil, pot, and watering (control variables), change only the hours of sun (independent variable), and measure the height of each one (dependent variable), repeating the measurement over several weeks.

Summary

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