On September 19, 2017, a magnitude 7.1 earthquake with its epicenter near Puebla shook Mexico City (CDMX). On September 19, 1985, a magnitude 8.0 earthquake with its epicenter off the coast of Michoacán caused thousands of deaths in the same city. Why can a distant earthquake be so damaging in the capital, and what can be done to make it less harmful?
Geological risk: hazard, vulnerability, and exposure
Geological processes are a normal part of an active planet. They become a problem when they affect people. By origin, they fall into two groups:
Internal hazards: they come from the Earth's internal energy, such as earthquakes (tremors), volcanic eruptions, and tsunamis of seismic origin.
External hazards: they come from the Sun's energy and from gravity, such as floods, landslides, subsidence, and erosion.
A geological risk map represents the zones of a territory according to their hazard (active faults, volcanoes, unstable slopes, flood-prone areas). It is used to decide where it is a good idea to build and where it is not. For example, a growing city can set aside unstable hillside areas as a park and locate schools and hospitals on firm ground.
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Distinguish between internal and external geological hazards, and give two examples of each type.
Distinguish between internal and external geological hazards, and give two examples of each type.
The point in the Earth's interior where the rock breaks is the hypocenter. The point on the surface directly above it is the epicenter. From there, seismic waves spread out, and a seismograph records them in a seismogram.
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Look at the diagram of an earthquake, which shows the hypocentre, epicentre, seismic waves and a seismograph recording. Using the diagram, explain the difference between…
Look at the diagram of an earthquake, which shows the hypocentre, epicentre, seismic waves and a seismograph recording. Using the diagram, explain the difference between the magnitude and intensity of an earthquake, and state which scale or instrument is used to measure each one.
Two earthquakes of the same magnitude hit two different regions: in one there is barely any damage, while in the other thousands of casualties are reported. Explain what…
Two earthquakes of the same magnitude hit two different regions: in one there is barely any damage, while in the other thousands of casualties are reported. Explain what factors, besides magnitude, determine the effects of an earthquake: hazard, vulnerability and exposure.
Following a series of tremors in a region crossed by an active geological fault, a local official declares: "During this month we have experienced $100$ small magnitude…
Following a series of tremors in a region crossed by an active geological fault, a local official declares: "During this month we have experienced $100$ small magnitude $3$ earthquakes. This is good news, because the fault has gradually released the energy equivalent to a major magnitude $6$ earthquake, thus avoiding a greater catastrophe."
a) On the earthquake magnitude scale, each increase of $1$ unit of magnitude multiplies the energy released by approximately $31.6$ ($10^{1.5}$). Calculate how many magnitude $3$ earthquakes would actually be needed to equal the energy released by a single magnitude $6$ earthquake, and how many for a magnitude $7$ one.
b) Using the numerical results obtained, refute the official's statements and justify why the presence of small, shallow earthquakes by no means guarantees that the risk of a major earthquake has dissipated.
c) Explain what relationship exists between the accumulation of elastic strain energy along the boundaries of a locked fault (elastic rebound theory) and the destructive potential of a high-magnitude earthquake.
Mexico has active volcanoes such as Popocatépetl and the Colima Volcano, and others that are inactive such as Pico de Orizaba. In 1943, Paricutín was born in a cornfield in Michoacán. CENAPRED (the National Center for Disaster Prevention) monitors Popocatépetl with an alert traffic-light system.
Besides what comes out of the crater, an eruption can generate lahars: flows of mud and debris that run down stream channels when ash mixes with rain or with the meltwater of a glacier.
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During a volcanic eruption, lava flows, ash, gases and pyroclastic flows are emitted, and lahars can form. Choose three of these products and explain the type of damage…
During a volcanic eruption, lava flows, ash, gases and pyroclastic flows are emitted, and lahars can form. Choose three of these products and explain the type of damage each one can cause.
To know how dangerous a place is, you have to know its past: when was the last eruption? How many large earthquakes has this fault had? Rocks keep that record, and it is read with a few principles that order events from oldest to most recent, without needing to give dates in years. This is called relative dating.
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On a slope above a road, two sections with the same gradient ($35^\circ$) are analyzed after a torrential rain event of $120\ \text{l/m}^2$: Section 1: alternating…
On a slope above a road, two sections with the same gradient ($35^\circ$) are analyzed after a torrential rain event of $120\ \text{l/m}^2$:
Section 1: alternating limestone and marl strata dipping at $30^\circ$ parallel to the terrain slope, recently deforested.
Section 2: horizontal strata of compact sandstone covered by native Mediterranean forest.
a) Justify why Section 1 suffered a catastrophic landslide while Section 2 remained stable, analyzing the influence of dip, lithology, and plant cover.
b) To stabilize Section 1, a company proposes spraying a continuous layer of shotcrete over the surface without drilling drainage weep holes into the interior. Predict what will happen during the next storm and technically justify why this measure may increase the risk.
Compare the data from these two real seismic events: • Earthquake A (Lorca, Spain, 2011): Magnitude $M_w = 5.1$; hypocenter depth = $1\ \text{km}$; epicentral distance…
Compare the data from these two real seismic events:
• Earthquake A (Lorca, Spain, 2011): Magnitude $M_w = 5.1$; hypocenter depth = $1\ \text{km}$; epicentral distance to urban center = $2.5\ \text{km}$; maximum intensity = VII-VIII (EMS); 9 deaths and hundreds of damaged buildings.
• Earthquake B (Sea of Okhotsk, 2013): Magnitude $M_w = 8.3$; hypocenter depth = $609\ \text{km}$; distance to nearest inhabited area = $350\ \text{km}$; maximum surface intensity = V (MMI); 0 deaths and no property damage.
a) Based on the seismic risk equation ($\text{Risk} = \text{Hazard} \times \text{Exposure} \times \text{Vulnerability}$), analyze what specific factors caused the Lorca earthquake to be devastating despite its moderate magnitude.
b) Explain the conceptual difference between the "magnitude" and the "intensity" of an earthquake using data from both earthquakes to illustrate your answer.
c) Design two preventive measures (one structural and one related to land-use planning or education) to mitigate seismic risk in municipalities with characteristics similar to Lorca.
Back to the beginning: the 1985 earthquake was so destructive in CDMX because, although the epicenter was far away, the soft ground amplified the waves (more intensity) and there were many fragile buildings and many people exposed. In 2017, with stricter codes and the seismic alert, there was less damage to new buildings, although vulnerability failed in old or poorly built ones.
Summary
Let's practice! 3 medium exercises in this section