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Economic reality: a macroeconomic perspective · International trade and the financial system

The financial system and money creation

When Emma's parents take out a $\$12{,}000$ car loan, the bank doesn't hand over a pile of cash. It just types a number into their checking account, and the money appears. Where did it come from? When a bank grants a loan and credits the amount to an account, it simultaneously creates a claim in its own favor and a deposit in the customer's favor. It does not create net wealth: a debt is also born. Its capacity to lend is limited by solvency, liquidity, regulation, risk and the demand for credit.

The financial system: who's who

Diagram of the financial system showing the flow of deposits from savers to banks and the granting of credit to firms and households. Savers deposit Banks credit Firmsand households
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Explain what the financial system is and who its main participants are. What role does it play in the economy by connecting them with one another?

Explain what the financial system is and who its main participants are. What role does it play in the economy by connecting them with one another?

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What is bought and sold in financial markets? Distinguish, at a basic level, between a share of stock (a piece of ownership of a company) and a bond (a loan you make to…

What is bought and sold in financial markets? Distinguish, at a basic level, between a share of stock (a piece of ownership of a company) and a bond (a loan you make to whoever issues it): who pays you and what risk do you take on in each case?

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Cash, deposits and reserves

Diagram of the bank balance sheet illustrating how granting a loan simultaneously generates an asset for the bank and a new deposit for the customer. Customer: deposit= claim on the bank Bank: loan = asset;deposit = liability Reserves: payments between banksand monetary requirements
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Distinguish between cash and bank money. When you pay by debit card, what type of money do you use and where does that money "exist"?

Distinguish between cash and bank money. When you pay by debit card, what type of money do you use and where does that money "exist"?

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A bank receives $\$1,000$ in deposits and, by law, is only required to keep $10\ \%…

A bank receives $\$1,000$ in deposits and, by law, is only required to keep $10\ \%$ in reserves.

  1. a) How much does it keep in reserve and how much can it lend?
  2. b) Explain why the bank does not keep all the money in reserve: what would it gain and what would it lose?
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From the bank's point of view, your account is a debt: the bank owes you that money. Explain the difference between a deposit (a liability of the bank) and a loan the…

From the bank's point of view, your account is a debt: the bank owes you that money. Explain the difference between a deposit (a liability of the bank) and a loan the bank grants (an asset of the bank), and why the bank profits from the difference between what it pays on one and what it charges on the other.

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Money: functions, fiat and the money supply

Why does a $\$20$ bill, which is just a piece of printed paper, buy you a pizza?

Nested boxes showing that M1, currency and checking deposits, is part of the broader measure M2, which also includes savings accounts. M2 = M1 + savings accounts, small time deposits, money market funds M1 = currency + checking deposits the most liquid forms of money
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A $\$20$ bill is just paper, but everyone accepts it as if it were worth $\$20$. a) Explain what fiat money is and what its value is based on (trust and general…

A $\$20$ bill is just paper, but everyone accepts it as if it were worth $\$20$.

  1. a) Explain what fiat money is and what its value is based on (trust and general acceptance, the backing of the monetary authority).
  2. b) What happens when that trust breaks down (historical hyperinflation, restrictions on withdrawing deposits)? Describe the consequences for daily life.
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Reserve requirements and why banks lend

A bank's business is simple: it takes in deposits and lends most of the money out. The reserve ratio (the required reserve ratio, $RR$) is the share of deposits that a bank must keep liquid, as vault cash or as a balance at the Fed. The rest can be lent.

Bar showing that a bank keeps 10% of a deposit as reserves and can lend out the other 90%. Reserves: 10% Loans: 90% Every 100 dollars deposited: 10 kept, 90 lent

Why doesn't the bank keep everything in reserve? Then it would earn no interest, it could not pay interest to depositors, and nobody could borrow to buy a house, a car or a food truck. Lending is legal and useful because it moves savings to people who can use them productively. The cost is risk: a bank that lends most deposits cannot repay everyone at once. Reserves are the liquid cushion, and the Fed can change the requirement to influence lending. If the requirement were $0\%$, banks would not be forced to hold any reserves; they would still need some liquidity to settle payments, but nothing would stop them from lending nearly everything, so the risk of a bank run would rise (and the simple formula $1/RR$ would break down).

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What is the reserve ratio (the share of deposits that a bank must keep liquid)? Explain what purpose that legal requirement serves and what would happen if it were…

What is the reserve ratio (the share of deposits that a bank must keep liquid)? Explain what purpose that legal requirement serves and what would happen if it were $0\ \%$.

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"Banks lend out their depositors' money." Explain why that is legal and useful for the economy (it finances homes and businesses), and reason what would happen to credit…

"Banks lend out their depositors' money." Explain why that is legal and useful for the economy (it finances homes and businesses), and reason what would happen to credit and economic activity if banks were required to keep all deposits without lending them out.

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The multiplier: a simplified model

Conceptual diagram comparing the theoretical assumptions of the money multiplier model with the complexity of credit in the real banking system. Model: fixed reserves+ restrictive assumptions Model result:D = R / RR Real system: credit, capital,liquidity and monetary policy
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With a reserve ratio of $10\ \%$, an initial deposit of $\$2,000$ can end up creating up to $\$20,000$ of bank money. a) Calculate the money multiplier ($1$ divided by…

With a reserve ratio of $10\ \%$, an initial deposit of $\$2,000$ can end up creating up to $\$20,000$ of bank money.

  1. a) Calculate the money multiplier ($1$ divided by the reserve ratio) and check the final figure.
  2. b) Explain step by step how this multiplication occurs: who deposits, who lends, and who redeposits.
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The figure shows the bank money creation chain: Ana deposits, the bank lends to Bruno, Bruno pays Carla, and Carla deposits again. a) Identify at what point new money is…

The figure shows the bank money creation chain: Ana deposits, the bank lends to Bruno, Bruno pays Carla, and Carla deposits again.

Ana deposits 1000 the bank lends 900 Bruno pays 900 Carla deposits 900 keeps 100 in reserve and lends the rest new derived deposit …and the chain continues as long as the money returns to a bank
  1. a) Identify at what point new money is "created" and who creates it.
  2. b) What would happen to the chain if Carla kept the banknotes under her mattress? Justify your answer.
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Why the real multiplier is smaller

The simple formula assumes three things: every dollar lent comes back to the banking system as a new deposit (no cash held outside banks), banks lend out every dollar of excess reserves, and there are enough borrowers. In real life none of these holds exactly, so each round leaks.

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With a reserve ratio of $5\ \%$, an initial deposit of $\$5,000…

With a reserve ratio of $5\ \%$, an initial deposit of $\$5,000$ can, in theory, turn into much more bank money.

  1. a) Calculate the money multiplier and the maximum amount of bank money it can give rise to.
  2. b) What assumptions does that model make (all the money returns to the banks, banks lend out everything they can, there is demand for credit)? Explain why the real multiplier is smaller.
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The central bank carries out a liquidity injection of 500 million dollars through the purchase of government bonds from commercial banks. The minimum reserve requirement…

The central bank carries out a liquidity injection of 500 million dollars through the purchase of government bonds from commercial banks. The minimum reserve requirement set by the monetary authority is 2 % (0,02). However, the economy is going through a recession with high uncertainty:

  • Commercial banks decide to retain an additional 8 % of deposits as voluntary excess reserves as a precaution against potential defaults.

  • Individuals and firms decide to hold the equivalent of 10 % of their bank deposits in cash.

  1. a) Calculate the theoretical potential money multiplier (assuming there is no cash drain or voluntary reserves) and compare it with the effective multiplier that occurs under the actual behavior described.
  2. b) An analyst states on television: «The central bank has injected 500 million; therefore, banks are going to flood households with credit and will multiply the money supply fiftyfold immediately». Technically refute this statement using the calculations from the previous section and distinguishing between the supply of credit and the creditworthy demand for it.
  3. c) Predict what would happen to the money supply and inflation risk if the economy suddenly regains confidence and both banks and households reduce their excess reserves and cash holdings to a minimum.
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The Federal Reserve and monetary policy

Diagram of the monetary transmission mechanism showing how changes in the federal funds rate affect bank credit and the investment of firms and households. Fed cuts rates banks lendmore cheaply small business investsmore
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Explain what the Federal Reserve is and how it differs from a local commercial bank. Mention at least two functions that only the central bank performs.

Explain what the Federal Reserve is and how it differs from a local commercial bank. Mention at least two functions that only the central bank performs.

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The Federal Reserve lowers its interest rates to almost zero. a) What is it trying to achieve with that decision? b) Describe the transmission chain to the real economy:…

The Federal Reserve lowers its interest rates to almost zero.

  1. a) What is it trying to achieve with that decision?
  2. b) Describe the transmission chain to the real economy: from the federal funds rate to the rates on bank loans, and from there to the decision of a small business wondering whether to buy a new van.
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During several years of stagnation, the European Central Bank implemented massive bond purchases in the secondary market (quantitative easing or QE), acquiring public…

During several years of stagnation, the European Central Bank implemented massive bond purchases in the secondary market (quantitative easing or QE), acquiring public and corporate debt worth trillions of dollars.

  1. a) Trace in detail the economic transmission chain of QE: how does the central bank ensure that buying bonds in financial markets translates into lower financing costs for a small business applying for a loan or for a family taking out a mortgage?
  2. b) Analyze the distributive effect of this policy: while interest rates remained at 0%, the price of stocks and housing in large cities rose sharply, whereas the real wages of middle- and low-income workers stagnated. Justify the causal relationship between the massive purchase of financial assets and the increase in wealth inequality.
  3. c) Predict what dilemma the central bank faces when inflation skyrockets to 8% and it must implement quantitative tightening (selling bonds and raising rates) in an environment where several Member States have a public debt exceeding 110% of their GDP.
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Financial stability: bank runs and regulation

Sequence of a bank run triggered by the deterioration of assets and rumors of collapse, and how FDIC insurance and the Fed step in to stop mass withdrawals. assetsdeteriorate rumor ofcollapse masswithdrawal FDIC insurance and the Fed step in to break the chain
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What is the Deposit Guarantee Fund and up to what amount does it cover per account holder and bank in Spain ($\$100,000…

What is the Deposit Guarantee Fund and up to what amount does it cover per account holder and bank in Spain ($\$100,000$)? Explain why the existence of that guarantee means customers do not rush to withdraw their money when a rumor of a banking crisis spreads.

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Back to the start: the $\$12{,}000$ appeared in Emma's parents' account because the bank created a deposit and, at the same time, a debt of the same size. The loan is the bank's asset, the deposit is its liability, and reserves, capital and the Fed limit how far this can go.

Summary

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