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Prep 1 · Economics
The environment as a source of ideas and opportunities · The economic perspective of the environment

Economics as a Science

"Young people don't read anymore" is something you hear a lot, but just because something gets repeated doesn't make it true. How could we find out whether it's true? Economics, like every science, doesn't settle for hunches: it observes, measures, and checks against data.

Economics as a Social Science

Diagram of the scientific method in economics: observe reality, form testable hypotheses, and test them against data. Observe Formulatehypotheses Test

A biologist can repeat an experiment under controlled conditions. An economist can rarely do that with an entire country, so they compare similar cases, use historical data, and take advantage of policy changes as "natural experiments." The data usually come from sources such as INEGI, Banxico, or ECLAC.

Different Theoretical Approaches

There is no single way to explain the economy. Different schools of thought look at the same problem, scarcity, from different angles:

  • Classical approach: it trusts that markets, with people pursuing their own interest, organize production and distribution well. Scarcity is tackled with work, saving, and freedom to trade.

  • Marxist approach: it focuses on who owns the means of production. For this approach, scarcity and inequality are explained by how wealth is divided between those who own capital and those who work.

  • Keynesian approach: it holds that the economy sometimes stagnates for lack of demand and that the government can spend and invest to get it going again.

Each approach explains scarcity differently and proposes different solutions. That is why, when analyzing a news story, it is worth asking which approach is being spoken from.

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Explain in your own words why economics is called a social science: what it studies, how it works (observe, measure, test) and how it is similar to and different from a…

Explain in your own words why economics is called a social science: what it studies, how it works (observe, measure, test) and how it is similar to and different from a natural science like biology. What is special about studying people's decisions?

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The municipality wants to know if the new bike lane has increased sales for stores along the avenue. a) Design the test following the economist's method: what would you…

The municipality wants to know if the new bike lane has increased sales for stores along the avenue.

  1. a) Design the test following the economist's method: what would you observe, what data would you collect (and for which periods), and what would you compare it with?
  2. b) Explain why it is harder to test theories in economics than in a laboratory: what other things might have changed at the same time (sales, road work, weather)?
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Positive and Normative Statements

Comparison between positive statements, testable with data, and normative statements, based on value judgments. Positiveverified with data vs. Normativevalue judgment
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Classify these statements into positive (describe what is and can be tested with data) or normative (express opinions on what ought to be): a) 'Youth unemployment…

Classify these statements into positive (describe what is and can be tested with data) or normative (express opinions on what ought to be):

  1. a) 'Youth unemployment exceeds $25\ \%$ in the state.'
  2. b) 'The municipality should lower business taxes for stores in the city center.'
  3. c) 'When bus fares go up, fewer people use it.'
  4. d) 'Pensions must be raised whatever the cost.'
  5. e) 'Last year's inflation was $3\ \%$.'
Solve
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Classify each headline according to two criteria: micro or macro, and positive or normative. Justify your answer for one of them. a) 'Olive oil prices double due to poor…

Classify each headline according to two criteria: micro or macro, and positive or normative. Justify your answer for one of them.

  1. a) 'Olive oil prices double due to poor harvest.'
  2. b) 'Mexico should invest more in solar energy.'
  3. c) 'Unemployment nationwide falls to $11\ \%$.'
  4. d) 'The ice cream parlor in the square closes down due to rent increase.'
Solve
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The class is debating whether to ban cars in the town center. a) Write two positive statements and two normative statements that could be heard in that debate. b)…

The class is debating whether to ban cars in the town center.

  1. a) Write two positive statements and two normative statements that could be heard in that debate.
  2. b) Explain why it is useful to separate one from the other during a discussion: which ones are resolved with data and which ones depend on values? What happens when they are mixed up?
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Microeconomics and Macroeconomics

Comparison between microeconomics, focused on one agent or one price, and macroeconomics, focused on the country as a whole. MICROone agent, one price MACROthe country as a whole
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The diagram shows the wall display that the school economics club uses to organise the month's news: on one side, those looking closely (microeconomics); on the other,…

The diagram shows the wall display that the school economics club uses to organise the month's news: on one side, those looking closely (microeconomics); on the other, those looking at the country as a whole (macroeconomics). One card is left unplaced.

MICRO close up: households and firms · the price of the café menu · a shop hiring staff MACRO the country as a whole · unemployment nationwide · this year's inflation ?
  1. a) The missing card says: 'The government raises the minimum wage nationwide'. State which box it belongs in and explain why.
  2. b) Write two new cards for each box with news stories you make up.
Solve

Economic Models and "Ceteris Paribus"

Reality, with many causes at once, is simplified into a model that isolates the key relationships. Realitymany causes Modelsimplified
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A tube map does not look like the real city: the streets are drawn straight and the distances are distorted. And yet, it gets you anywhere. Use this example to explain…

A tube map does not look like the real city: the streets are drawn straight and the distances are distorted. And yet, it gets you anywhere. Use this example to explain what an economic model is, what the purpose of simplifying reality is, and what is lost when doing so. Give a typical assumption of economic models (for example: 'all buyers know all prices') and comment on whether it is realistic.

Solve
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'If ticket prices go up, fewer are sold, ceteris paribus.' Explain what that Latin phrase means ('all other things equal') and why economists use it so much. Give an…

'If ticket prices go up, fewer are sold, ceteris paribus.' Explain what that Latin phrase means ('all other things equal') and why economists use it so much. Give an example where it does not hold true: the price goes up and yet more tickets are sold.

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Correlation and Causation

Spurious correlation: summer heat raises ice cream sales and the number of swimmers at the same time, and with them the drownings. Ice creamsales ↑ Drown-ingsat beach ↑ Summerheat
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A 4th-year ESO student comments in Economics class: "Models like the Circular Flow of Income or the Production Possibility Frontier are useless because reality is…

A 4th-year ESO student comments in Economics class: "Models like the Circular Flow of Income or the Production Possibility Frontier are useless because reality is infinitely more complex: in the real world there are millions of people, banks, governments, and foreign trade that these simplistic diagrams completely ignore."

  1. a) Rebut their argument using the analogy of a transit map app: explain what would happen if a subway or road map tried to reproduce reality with complete accuracy, and conclude why simplifying through assumptions is a virtue and not a flaw of scientific models.
  2. b) Taking the basic Circular Flow of Income model (only households and firms, goods market, and factor market) as a reference:
  • Justify an essential economic relationship that this model allows you to understand clearly.

  • Point out a real economic phenomenon that is impossible to analyze with this simple model, and what agent or market would need to be incorporated into it to be able to explain it.

  1. c) State a criterion that determines when a simplifying assumption is valid and when it invalidates the conclusions of an economic model.
Solve

Back to the beginning: to find out whether "young people don't read anymore," a hunch isn't enough: you define a measurable variable (books read per year) and test it against data from a large, representative sample. And any project you take on will operate within a system of families, businesses, government, and banks that you learn to see with these tools.

Summary

See all the exercises in this section