International trade and economic integration
Why does Ireland sell pharmaceuticals, dairy and beef abroad and buy oil and cars? The answer is not just "because it has too much of one and too little of the other": there is an economic logic behind it, that of specialisation, which explains why trading benefits even countries that could make everything themselves.
Absolute and comparative advantage
Country A produces $1\ \text{kg}$ of cheese with $2$ hours of work and country B, with $4$ hours. a) Which country has an absolute advantage in cheese? Justify your…
Country A produces $1\ \text{kg}$ of cheese with $2$ hours of work and country B, with $4$ hours.
- a) Which country has an absolute advantage in cheese? Justify your answer.
- b) According to the theory of absolute advantage, what does it recommend each country do? Explain the logic of specialisation.
The country Vega produces wheat with half the labour of Olma, and Olma produces wine with half the labour of Vega. a) Explain what absolute advantage is and who has it…
The country Vega produces wheat with half the labour of Olma, and Olma produces wine with half the labour of Vega.
- a) Explain what absolute advantage is and who has it for each product.
- b) Reason why both countries can benefit if they specialise and trade with each other.
Analyze the following statement: "International trade increases the overall economic pie, but the way it is distributed can ruin entire regions." a) Drawing on the…
Analyze the following statement: "International trade increases the overall economic pie, but the way it is distributed can ruin entire regions."
- a) Drawing on the comparative advantage model and the imperfect mobility of labor, justify why trade liberalization can simultaneously generate net gains at the macroeconomic level and prolonged structural unemployment in single-industry regions (for example, regions dedicated to ceramics or footwear).
- b) Design a package of two economic policies to compensate workers harmed by import competition without resorting to protectionist barriers. Assess the budgetary difficulties of financing these policies with taxes collected from the domestic exporting sectors that have gained from trade.
With one hour of work, the country Norte produces $6$ metres of cloth or $2$ litres of wine; the country Sur produces $4$ metres of cloth or $4$ litres of wine. a) Who…
With one hour of work, the country Norte produces $6$ metres of cloth or $2$ litres of wine; the country Sur produces $4$ metres of cloth or $4$ litres of wine.
- a) Who has an absolute advantage in each product?
- b) Calculate the opportunity cost of producing one litre of wine in each country (in metres of cloth) and state who has a comparative advantage in wine.
- c) Explain how specialisation according to comparative advantage can benefit both countries.
Who gains and who loses?
Trade raises total output, but the gains are not shared equally. Consumers gain from cheaper goods and more choice, and exporting firms gain new markets. Workers in industries that lose out to imports may lose their jobs, and moving to a new industry or region takes time and retraining. So a country can gain overall while some regions suffer. Governments can compensate the losers with retraining and education, without using tariffs.
The balance of trade
The balance of payments is the wider record of all of a country's transactions with the rest of the world. It has three parts: the current account (trade in goods and services, plus income and transfers), the capital account and the financial account. The balance of trade is only one part of the current account. Ireland's exports are mainly pharmaceuticals, medical devices, computer services and food and drink such as dairy and beef; it imports oil and gas, vehicles and machinery. In the balance of payments, credits (money coming in, such as exports) are shown with a plus sign and debits (money going out, such as imports) with a minus sign.
Here are some invented figures to show the pattern of Irish trade. Look for the patterns in the table.
| Of every €100 of goods exported | Destination (€) | Product (€) |
|---|---|---|
| US | 30 | Pharmaceuticals: 40 |
| UK | 20 | Food and drink: 10 |
| Rest of the EU | 35 | Machinery, medical devices and other: 50 |
| Other countries | 15 |
Trade in goods is only part of the picture. The balance of trade in services covers tourism, transport and computer services. Adding it to the goods balance gives the balance of goods and services. For example, a goods deficit of €10 billion and a services surplus of €6 billion give a combined balance of $-10 + 6 = -\text{€}4$ billion, a deficit. Goods deficits are often driven by imports of manufactured goods and fuel, while services surpluses come from tourism and exports of services, which can partly offset the goods deficit.
Define exports and imports and explain what the balance of trade is. When do we say that a country has a trade deficit or a trade surplus?
Define exports and imports and explain what the balance of trade is. When do we say that a country has a trade deficit or a trade surplus?
The figure shows the exports and imports of an imaginary country over three years, in billions of euros. a) Calculate the trade balance for each year. b) In which years…
The figure shows the exports and imports of an imaginary country over three years, in billions of euros.
- a) Calculate the trade balance for each year.
- b) In which years was there a deficit, and in which years a surplus?
A country exports goods worth $300,000$ million euros and imports goods worth $350,000$ million. a) Calculate its trade balance. b) Does it have a trade deficit or a…
A country exports goods worth $300,000$ million euros and imports goods worth $350,000$ million.
- a) Calculate its trade balance.
- b) Does it have a trade deficit or a trade surplus? Explain what that sign means.
A country has a goods trade deficit of $40,000$ million euros and a services surplus (tourism, transport) of $25,000$ million. a) Calculate the total balance of goods…
A country has a goods trade deficit of $40,000$ million euros and a services surplus (tourism, transport) of $25,000$ million.
- a) Calculate the total balance of goods and services and state its sign.
- b) Explain which sectors drive each balance in a country like Ireland and what "offsetting" the goods deficit with tourism means.
Protectionism, tariffs and dumping
Explain the difference between free trade and protectionism. Then solve: a pair of imported trainers costs $\text{€}\ 50$ and the country applies a tariff of $20\ \%$,…
Explain the difference between free trade and protectionism. Then solve: a pair of imported trainers costs $\text{€}\ 50$ and the country applies a tariff of $20\ \%$, what final price do consumers pay?
The European Union is negotiating a free trade agreement with a non-EU bloc that boasts a huge low-cost agricultural and livestock capacity (with lower labour and…
The European Union is negotiating a free trade agreement with a non-EU bloc that boasts a huge low-cost agricultural and livestock capacity (with lower labour and environmental standards), but which currently levies tariffs of between 20 % and 35 % on European industrial machinery and automobiles, and restricts access for European services to its market.
- a) Identify the intersectoral distributive conflict that this agreement generates within Ireland. Justify comparatively what impact consumers and the capital goods industry will experience versus the domestic livestock and tillage farming sectors.
- b) As an advisor to the European negotiating team, design two specific clauses (such as gradual tariff-rate quotas or mirror clauses on phytosanitary and animal welfare standards) to balance the agreement. Justify how your proposals correct unfair competition without causing the ratification of the trade agreement to fail.
- c) Refute the following claim with economic arguments: «Any trade agreement that increases a country's aggregate GDP is automatically desirable for its society as a whole».
Besides tariffs, there is the import quota: a limit on the quantity of a product that can enter the country. Explain the difference between taxing an imported product…
Besides tariffs, there is the import quota: a limit on the quantity of a product that can enter the country. Explain the difference between taxing an imported product with a tariff and putting a quota on it, and reason what effect each one has on the price and the available quantity.
A country sells its steel abroad below the cost of production, subsidised by its government, and sinks the steel mills of competing countries. a) What is "dumping" and…
A country sells its steel abroad below the cost of production, subsidised by its government, and sinks the steel mills of competing countries.
- a) What is "dumping" and why is it considered unfair competition?
- b) What response do the affected countries usually give (anti-dumping duties) and what risk of trade escalation is there?
Welfare effects of a tariff
For a small country that is a price taker on world markets, a tariff raises the domestic price above the world price. Consumers buy less and lose consumer surplus. Domestic producers sell more at the higher price and gain producer surplus. The government collects tariff revenue on the imports that still enter. The consumer loss is bigger than the producer gain plus the revenue, and the difference is a deadweight loss.
A trading partner may respond with retaliation, which can start a trade war. Disputes between countries can be taken to the World Trade Organization (WTO). The fair trade movement argues that trade should pay producers in poorer countries a fair price, so that farmers of crops such as coffee or cocoa are not squeezed by low world prices.
Arguments for protection: shielding infant industries until they can compete, protecting jobs, and keeping a secure supply of strategic goods such as food and energy. Arguments for free trade: lower prices and more choice for consumers, gains from specialisation and economies of scale, more competition that pushes firms to improve, and bigger export markets. Protection risks retaliation and higher prices, which is why most economists favour freer trade with support for those who lose out.
European integration: customs union, single market and euro
The European Union is a customs union: inside it there are no tariffs and outside it the same common tariff applies. Explain with an example what that means for an…
The European Union is a customs union: inside it there are no tariffs and outside it the same common tariff applies. Explain with an example what that means for an orange packed in Cork travelling to Germany, as opposed to an orange from a third country entering through the port of Dublin.
Exchange rates, depreciation and competitiveness
The exchange rate is the price of one currency in terms of another. If €1 = $1.10, then a €20 book costs $22, because $20 \cdot 1.10 = 22$. A $110 pair of trainers costs $110 / 1.10 = \text{€}100$.
Competitiveness depends on several factors: costs (wages, energy, rents), productivity (output per worker), quality and innovation, and the exchange rate. A stronger euro makes Irish exports dearer abroad. This mattered after Brexit, when the fall in sterling and new customs checks made selling to the UK, a major market for Irish food exporters, harder. The EU and the World Trade Organization (WTO) negotiate trade agreements that lower barriers and settle disputes, helping Irish firms reach new markets. The EU negotiates trade agreements on behalf of all its members, and the WTO sets common rules and settles disputes between countries. Since Brexit, Irish exporters to the UK face customs declarations and checks that did not exist before, which is a cost for perishable food exports in particular.
A firm that cannot win on price can also compete on design, brand and quality. A firm that cannot win on price can compete on design, brand and quality, because some consumers will pay a premium. Inside the euro area a country cannot change its exchange rate. If its prices and wages rise faster than its partners', it loses competitiveness and must go through an internal devaluation, which means cutting wages and costs. This can raise unemployment and increases the real burden of debt.
Explain what belonging to the European Single Market means for an Irish company when selling to France compared to selling to a country outside the EU. Mention tariffs,…
Explain what belonging to the European Single Market means for an Irish company when selling to France compared to selling to a country outside the EU. Mention tariffs, common standards, and the free movement of goods.
A fictitious country leaves the customs union it belonged to. A strawberry-exporting firm used to sell to its neighbours with no paperwork. a) List what changes for the…
A fictitious country leaves the customs union it belonged to. A strawberry-exporting firm used to sell to its neighbours with no paperwork.
- a) List what changes for the firm (tariffs, sanitary controls, customs, delivery times).
- b) Reason why perishable products suffer more than others from border controls and what the firm can do to adapt.
A Galway-based textile company manufactures shirts at an average cost of 22 € per unit. Shirts of similar appearance and design from Southeast Asia are sold in Ireland…
A Galway-based textile company manufactures shirts at an average cost of 22 € per unit. Shirts of similar appearance and design from Southeast Asia are sold in Ireland for 8 €, due to lower labor and regulatory costs at origin.
- a) Design a strategic turnaround plan for the Galway company that allows it to survive without competing on price or resorting to offshoring. Economically justify which competitive advantages it would rely on and why a segment of consumers would be willing to pay the price premium.
- b) The Irish textile employers' association demands a 150% tariff from the Irish government on imported clothing to "save industrial jobs". Assess the aggregate impact of this measure on the national economy: to whom would the tariff transfer income, and what side effects would it have on household disposable income and on the exports of other sectors?
An exporter from Cork sells potatoes to Germany and to a country outside the eurozone. a) Explain what advantages the euro gives it when selling to Germany. b) What…
An exporter from Cork sells potatoes to Germany and to a country outside the eurozone.
- a) Explain what advantages the euro gives it when selling to Germany.
- b) What additional problem does it face when selling to the other country? Explain what exchange rate risk is.
What is the exchange rate between two currencies? If $\text{€}\ 1 = 1.10\ \text{dollars}$, calculate how many dollars a $\text{€}\ 20$ book costs and how many euros a…
What is the exchange rate between two currencies? If $\text{€}\ 1 = 1.10\ \text{dollars}$, calculate how many dollars a $\text{€}\ 20$ book costs and how many euros a pair of trainers costing $110\ \text{dollars}$ costs.
The euro depreciates against the dollar: from $\text{€}\ 1 = 1.10\ \text{dollars}$ it moves to $\text{€}\ 1 = 1.00\ \text{dollar}$. a) Explain what happens to the price…
The euro depreciates against the dollar: from $\text{€}\ 1 = 1.10\ \text{dollars}$ it moves to $\text{€}\ 1 = 1.00\ \text{dollar}$.
- a) Explain what happens to the price American tourists pay in Ireland and to the price Irish people pay in the United States.
- b) Analyse the effect on Irish exports of goods and tourism, and on Irish imports of products priced in dollars (oil).
During a period of strong growth, the price and wage level in Country A (a member of the eurozone) rises by 18 % more than that of its trading partners, causing a severe…
During a period of strong growth, the price and wage level in Country A (a member of the eurozone) rises by 18 % more than that of its trading partners, causing a severe external deficit as its exports collapse.
- a) Lacking its own currency, Country A cannot resort to a devaluation of the nominal exchange rate. Predict how the mechanism of «internal devaluation» operates and compare its impact on employment, consumption, and the real burden of debt (public and private) against what depreciating an independent national currency would have entailed.
- b) An economic commentator claims: «If Country A had kept its independent national currency, it would have solved the competitiveness imbalance immediately and at no cost to the population». Reasonably refute this claim by pointing out the costs and risks brought about by a monetary devaluation (imported inflation, risk premium, and loss of credibility).
Global value chains and their risks
Elasticity and trade sanctions
How much an embargo hurts depends on price elasticity. In the short run, demand for oil and gas is very inelastic: households and firms cannot switch quickly, and supply from other sources is also inelastic. Losing a big supplier therefore pushes prices up sharply, so inflation can rise in the countries imposing the embargo. In the long run both demand and supply become more elastic: people insulate homes, build renewables and find new suppliers, so the price effect fades. The sanctioned country can redirect its exports to other buyers, often at a discount (trade diversion), so its revenue falls by less than the embargo suggests.
A latest-generation smartphone costs 900 € in the European market. Its value-added breakdown per unit is as follows: R&D and design in the US (350 €), screen and…
A latest-generation smartphone costs 900 € in the European market. Its value-added breakdown per unit is as follows: R&D and design in the US (350 €), screen and processor manufactured in South Korea and Taiwan (280 €), optical components from Germany (70 €), final assembly in Vietnam (50 €), and marketing margin in Europe (150 €).
- a) The EU decides to apply a 20% tariff to electronic devices "originating in Vietnam". Interpret which value this tariff would be applied to under traditional customs regulations and predict the unintended harmful consequences that European businesses and consumers, or those from allied countries, would suffer.
- b) Trade agreements establish "rules of origin" requiring, for example, that at least 50% of the value added be generated in the exporting country to obtain a tariff exemption. Demonstrate whether this smartphone would meet that rule to be considered from Vietnam, and deduce what logistical decision the multinational would make to circumvent the tariff if it does not exceed that threshold.
In the face of recent supply chain crises and geopolitical tensions, Western economies are reconsidering offshoring* (producing where costs are lowest) to bet on…
In the face of recent supply chain crises and geopolitical tensions, Western economies are reconsidering offshoring (producing where costs are lowest) to bet on nearshoring (relocating to neighbouring countries) and friendshoring (trading preferentially with allied countries).
- a) Analyse the economic dilemma or trade-off underlying this reconfiguration: what efficiency losses (comparative advantage and economies of scale) are accepted in exchange for mitigating strategic risks? Predict the structural impact of this shift on prices and the inflation rate in the medium term.
- b) If the Irish State had limited public funds to subsidise the relocation of strategic sectors, choose and contrast two of the following fields: advanced microelectronics (chips), basic active pharmaceutical ingredients, textile assembly, or solar panel production. Justify which one you would prioritise based on the difficulty of substitution in the event of a crisis and the opportunity cost of the invested capital.
A bloc of countries decides to totally embargo oil and gas imports from a neighboring power in retaliation for a geopolitical conflict. The power had previously supplied…
A bloc of countries decides to totally embargo oil and gas imports from a neighboring power in retaliation for a geopolitical conflict. The power had previously supplied 40% of the bloc's hydrocarbons.
- a) Using the concepts of price elasticity of demand and supply in the energy sector in the short and long run, predict the initial asymmetric impact on inflation in the sanctioning countries compared to the budgetary resilience of the sanctioned country.
- b) In the global oil market, "trade diversion" quickly occurs: the sanctioned power sells crude oil to emerging economies at a 15% discount, while the sanctioning countries buy from distant suppliers, paying record prices and high maritime freight rates. Interpret why this dynamic may weaken the objective of the sanction and what factors will determine its effectiveness in the long term.
Back to the beginning: Ireland exports pharmaceuticals and dairy because its opportunity cost of producing them is lower than in other countries (comparative advantage), and it imports oil and cars because it would cost comparatively far more resources to make them at home, gaining in well-being from the exchange.